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Bullion Bulls Canada Blog

Bullion Bulls Canada Blog

The End of The Gold Channel

Posted by: Bigdad06

Tagged in: Untagged 

Bigdad06

Merry Christmas and happy holidays to everyone! After more than 6 years of “exposing” the crime and fraud in these markets and governments worldwide, today these markets and governments are more corrupt than ever.  Recently access to my Youtube account has been denied and blocked permanently by the NSA with the help of Google. I was recently told by a friend of mine who is a computer programmer who also works for the government that he could get access to my account again if I really wanted it. However after thinking about it I realized that would possibly put him in harms way and jeopardize his job so I declined the offer. I thought about starting another Youtube channel, but if I did that I would still be at the mercy of the NSA and Google as far as access denial attacks so I don't view that as an option as it is still their platform. So what this means is I am unable to upload any new video commentary or interviews to The Gold Channel. I am also unable to make any comments on video's any longer or answer an messages or emails via Youtube. The Gold Channel will remain up with all of the past interviews and commentary of the past six years so you can still go back and review past interviews and commentary.

This however does not mean that I will stop fighting the corruption. It just means that I have to fight smarter and double my efforts at getting precious metals into the hands of those people who are "awake". The people who watch my videos and other video's like mine "get it". So it is no longer necessary to do any hand holding. People who are still stacking gold and silver at this point have iron hands as all the weak handed holders were flushed out months and years ago. What is needed now is for me to help those in my community prepare spiritually, mentally, emotionally, physically, and financially. So that is what I have been working on lately. I will also continue to post written commentary from time to time on Bullionbullscanada.com and Dont-tread-on.me thanks to Jeff Nielson and Chris Duane who have graciously allowed me to post video's and commentary on their websites for the past few years. I will also continue to do radio interviews from time to time with Ryan Brooks on Oriontalkradio.com and thesoundoffreedom.info .  I would also like to thank Sean over at Sgtreport.com for supporting my channel over the years by re-posting my videos on his website.

"Gold is money, nothing else. Silver is more!"  - Bigdad06

The first part of that statement was spoken more than 101 years ago on December 19, 1912 at the Pujo Committee of the House of Representatives that was investigating the power of Wall Street. John Pierpont Morgan actually said, "Money is gold, nothing else.  “Money is gold” is often misquoted as “Gold is money.” However I like the misquote better than the original so I decided to use that as the theme of The Gold Channel adding to that statement, "Silver is more." Meaning that because silver is consumed as an industrial metal and gold is not, then at some point in the future silver will be valued more than gold as above ground silver supplies have largely disappeared. Some find this ludicrous and incredulous as they look at the daily prices quoted. However there is a big difference between price and value and unfortunately our educational system doesn't teach people the difference. Platinum is already priced at a 1 to 1 ratio with gold and it doesn't have anywhere near the uses silver has. Bitcoin just achieved a 1 to 1 ratio with gold and it is a digital currency! In time I will be proven right.

I would like to thank all of my subscribers who have supported The Gold Channel over the years and I hope it was of some benefit to you and your families in helping to sift through all of the lies and propaganda of The One Bank, http://bullionbullscanada.com/intl-commentary/26287-the-one-bank, government, and main stream media. Real friends, real skills, and real assets will be what defines the new paradigm. Hopefully you are prepared for change as it will be the only constant in the years ahead.

I would like to personally thank all the guests who have done interviews with me over the years.

Reginald Kaigler/ Demcad on Youtube.com 

Chris Duane - Dont- tread-on.me and The Greatest Truth Never Told on Youtube.com

Woody O'Brien - Abolishfiatslavery.com

Jeff Nielson - Bullionbullscanada.com

Ryan Brooks  - thesoundoffreedom.info

Dr. Lee Warren - Plim2.org

Mickey Fulp - Mercenarygeologist.com

Gary Yantis retired electronics engineer Atomic Energy Commission 

Dr. Joseph Thomas

Dr. Jim Willie - Goldenjackass.com

Barry Solomon - Drescapes.com

James Dines - Dinesletter.com

Dr. Ann Socolofsky - anthrax

Eric Radez - co chairman chicagoresourceexpo.com

Trey Stinnett - Secondarrowsilver.com

Will Lehr - Perpetualassets.com

Gus Demos - Perpetualassets.com 

Ole Dammegard- Lightonconspiracies.com

Valencia Dantzler - Motherdiva on Youtube.com

William Dean A. Garner - Adagiopress.com

Margaret Phew - centurian and survivor of the Great Depression

Terry Pettie - philosopher, screen writer, and former military fire fighter

Much love and peace to you all over this holiday season and the years ahead!

 


Storm Signals & Opportunities

Posted by: Deepcaster

Tagged in: myblog

Deepcaster

Storm Signals and Opportunities

“Volatile oil and gasoline prices continued to dominate the monthly and annual swings in consumer inflation.  Going forward, risks generally favor higher energy inflation driving the headline consumer inflation indices higher.  Energy prices generally have an inverse relationship to U.S. dollar strength.  For example, a weak U.S. dollar against other currencies tends to put upside pressure on oil and gasoline prices.  Post-2008 bouts of dollar weakness generally have been triggered by the ongoing quantitative-easing (also known as dollar-debasement) policies of the Federal Reserve.  …

“The U.S. dollar recently has seen some minimal selling pressure.  That pressure likely will intensify sharply in the near future, with “tapering” (if any) by the Fed not likely to be of substance.  Underlying systemic-liquidity and economic circumstances actually favor intensified quantitative easing.  Combine that with the lack of a meaningful effort by the federal government to address fiscal imbalances and the long-term sovereign solvency issues of the United States; with shifting sentiments on the deteriorating political environment in Washington; and with a still-weakening economy; and circumstances are set for a rapidly intensifying sell-off of the U.S. dollar.  Again, as the U.S. dollar comes under heavy selling pressure, the weakening U.S. currency rapidly should be translated into rising oil-price-related inflation. …”

Commentary No. 583, Shadow Government Statistics, Shadowstats.com, 12/17/2013

U.S. Debt continues to increase, and is now 105% of GDP, and the recent “Budget Deal” does nothing to solve the U.S. Solvency issues. At some point, sooner rather than later, taper will have to stop and QE be reinstituted. Thus more Money Printing. Thus rising Hyperinflation is a threat and an the Opportunity! Nota Bene that the U.S. is already Threshold Hyperinflationary 8.8% CPI.

“Alternate Consumer Inflation Measures.   The ShadowStats-Alternate Consumer Inflation Measure (1990-Base) annual CPI inflation was roughly 4.7% in November, versus 4.4% in October.  The ShadowStats-Alternate Consumer Inflation Measure (1980-Base), which reverses gimmicked changes to official CPI reporting methodologies back to 1980, rose to about 8.8% in November 2013, versus 8.5% in October. …”

Ibid.

And other Official Numbers are Bogus, as well, and not jst for the U.S., but also for China and certain other Major Nations.

“The false recoveries in the real retail sales series, industrial production and GDP all are due to the understatement of the rate of inflation used in deflating those series.  Deflation by too-low an inflation number (such as the CPI-U) results in the deflated series overstating inflation-adjusted economic growth (see   Hyperinflation 2012   and   Special Commentary (No. 485).  The “recovery” patterns do not hold, however, if the series are corrected for understated inflation. …

“With the higher inflation of the ShadowStats measure, the revamped numbers show a pattern of plunge and stagnation, consistent with patterns seen in real median household income, consumer confidence measures, unemployment and housing statistics.   …

“Official real earnings today still have not recovered their inflation-adjusted levels of the early-1970s, and, at best, have been flat for the last decade.    …

“The hyperinflation forecast for 2014 remains in place, with 90% odds estimated in favor of its occurrence….”

Ibid.

And this Taper must at some point be stopped, and indeed, reversed.

“Due to ongoing solvency issues within the U.S. banking system, that Federal Reserve is locked into a liquidity trap of flooding the system with liquidity, with no resulting surge in the money supply (see Commentary No. 580).  Yet, the Fed’s quantitative easings have damaged the dollar, which in turn has triggered sporadic inflation from the related boosting of oil prices.  The overhang of dollars in the global markets—outside the formal U.S. money supply estimates—is well in excess of $10 trillion.  As those funds are dumped in the global markets, the weakening dollar will trigger dumping of U.S. Treasury securities and general flight from the U.S. currency.  As the Fed moves to stabilize the domestic financial system, the early stages of a currency-driven inflation will be overwhelmed by general flight from the dollar, and a resulting surge the domestic money supply.  Intensifying the crisis, and likely coincident with heavy flight from the dollar, odds also are high of the loss of the dollar’s global-reserve-currency status….”

Ibid.

Reviewing Signals which Portend Major Economic or Financial Developments and thus Major Market Moves provides both useful Warnings and Profit Opportunities.

The aforementioned Realities are already beginning to be reflected in other Indicators.

1. Regarding Technicals, long term Equities Charts are, given their Expanding multi-year “Jaws of Death” Wedge, quite Bearish. And it is this Mid to Long-term likely Bearish Reality that has influenced Equities recent Bearish Moves. They are a harbinger of what is coming. Indeed we have had Multiple Hindenberg Omen Observations in the past 30 days.

And there are four other indicators that, Mid and Long Term, signal Equities are set to Crash in the next few months.

2. Interest Rates are Rising: Consider a U.S. 10Yr Interest Rate Chart for 2013. Then consider what already rising rates are likely do to your preferred Investment Sectors and

3. Excessive Leverage - Margin Debt is at record Highs, over $400 Billion as of October 31. We saw what excessive leverage did in 2007-2009 . It will soon be time to go short. Stay tuned to Deepcaster regarding timing.

4. The Russell 2000 is Trading at 75 times reported Trailing Earnings – Quite Unsustainable.

5. Distribution Days are increasing

There is still one Reason among several we think the Fed will NOT be able to continue Tapering for more than a few months more, at most. A Significant Taper would cause interest rates to shoot UP – to over the critical 3% level on the U.S. Ten Year – thus creating Serious Problems Elsewhere, like an Equities Market Crash.

In sum, lessening, but still continuing, Fed Bond Buying will likely keep rates on the U.S. 10 year Note below 3% for a very few months more, but cannot keep them from rising indefinitely.

Indeed, they are already rising. There is simply too much Fed-created Hot Money in the System. This occurs because Fed QE suppresses interest rates, which lowers borrowing costs, which artificially elevates corporate Earnings. These earnings are thus Hot, i.e., artificially created, money. Carl Icahn is therefore correct to recently call corporate earnings “a mirage.” Perforce, Equities are poised to Fall.

Even so, the Fundamental Pressure for higher rates will eventually overwhelm Fed action therefore, short- to mid- term, we expect rates to continue to trend slowly up toward 3% on the 10 year; after that they will begin to accelerate.

By “Fundamental Pressure,” we mean Price Increases (Purchasing Power Decreases) coming from the Real Economy, e.g., from rising Oil Prices.

Re Gold and Silver, these Precious Metals were in the Doldrums last week, and The Cartel (Note 1) took the opportunity to take them down further that week and ostensibly better Economic Numbers. And this week The Cartel struck again with another massive Takedown.

Gold and Silver Paper Price Performance is playing out as we earlier forecast. However, we reiterate that Gold and Silver are completing creating a Great Bottom, a Launching Pad for the inevitable next Great Move up. Stay tuned for timing.

Since Equities are likely to Rally through the End of 2013 and into January (see our Forecasts), we expect that the attraction of Gold and Silver as Safe Havens will be somewhat muted for a very few weeks more. But The Great Launch up is likely to begin soon.

Looking ahead, the Prospects for The Great Launch Up to all time record highs beginning by 2014 are increasingly bolstered by the fact that Physical Bullion Supplies available for Delivery continue to Deplete – A recent report from the Comex shows the Registered (Available for Delivery) has shrunk to about 630,000 ounces.

Finally, the Great Impending Storm (and the Opportunity) is the bursting of the Bond Bubble.

“Today the US debt is $16.7 trillion. The entire Gross Domestic Product of the US is $15.68 trillion. This means that the debt to GDP ratio is over 105%. History shows that a debt to GDP ratio of over 100% is dangerous. With the debt growing exponentially, we face a situation of inflation, hyperinflation or bankruptcy…

“As I see it, we are in the latter phase of perhaps the greatest debt bubble in history. A bubble can inflate just so far, and then it pops. When the current debt bubble bursts, it will prove to be an unmitigated disaster.”

Richard Russell, DTL, 12/14/13

Deepcaster has been writing for a while about our mid to long term forecast that the increasing Debt/Bond Bubble is bound to burst, a view which other Independent Financial Commentators such as Richard Russell, share with us.

But how and when we get to the mid-term, and especially what we invest in, in the short term, is most important, because it will help determine whether we enjoy Profit and Wealth Protection, or suffer Dramatic loss of Wealth when that Biggest Bubble Bursts. Stay tuned.

Therefore we recommend Gold as Safe Haven and Great Profit Opportunity. In this connection, Jim Rickards’s observation is most wise.

“Rickards knows that the price of Gold is down 30% from its highs but ‘on the physical side, the shelves are being stripped bare,’ he says.

“’China and Europe are just buying every ounce they can get their hands on and that actually makes sense,” Rickards explains. ‘If the price is being suppressed because weak hands are dumping it or there’s manipulation in the market, you would expect people to buy it.’

“When things turn around, says Rickards, ‘you’re going to find there’s no gold available.’”

dailyticker.com, 12/19/2013

Best regards,

Deepcaster December 20, 2013

Note 1: We encourage those who doubt the scope and power of Overt and Covert Interventions by a Fed-led Cartel of Key Central Bankers and Favored Financial Institutions to read Deepcaster’s December, 2009, Special Alert containing a summary overview of Intervention entitled “Forecasts and December, 2009 Special Alert: Profiting From The Cartel’s Dark Interventions - III” and Deepcaster’s July, 2010 Letter entitled "Profit from a Weakening Cartel; Buy Reco; Forecasts: Gold, Silver, Equities, Crude Oil, U.S. Dollar & U.S. T-Notes & T-Bonds" in the ‘Alerts Cache’ and ‘Latest Letter’ Cache at www.deepcaster.com. Also consider the substantial evidence collected by the Gold AntiTrust Action Committee at www.gata.org, including testimony before the CFTC, for information on precious metals price manipulation. Virtually all of the evidence for Intervention has been gleaned from publicly available records. Deepcaster’s profitable recommendations displayed at www.deepcaster.com have been facilitated by attention to these “Interventionals.” Attention to The Interventionals facilitated Deepcaster’s recommending five short positions prior to the Fall, 2008 Market Crash all of which were subsequently liquidated profitably.

 


Zoning, Suburban Sprawl and Laying Hens

Posted by: FusionEnterprise

Tagged in: Untagged 

FusionEnterprise

Zoning Laws and Suburban Sprawl

We often lament the dehumanization of our communities, with nobody sitting on the front porch and no conversations around the cracker barrel.  Often we blame this on the automobile or the oil lobby or some other interest group and not without some justification.  But one of the contributing factors is zoning law, which made the corner store illegal and put a real crimp on home industries.  Yes this has tidied up the neighborhood but do we really want it to be so sterile that we only see people on Facebook or at work? 

This blog is pointed toward the formation of Fusion Enterprises which have one defining characteristic, they put humanity first, and this often means that they are local.  Local people using resources that are in abundance to make things and provide services for local people (and maybe some left over for export to the extended family).  We will discuss the other attributes of Fusion Enterprises as we go along, but for today I just want to look at zoning.  Zoning is something that can be addressed locally and we don’t have to flail our arms in the air in exasperation  because we can’t  bring down the Oligarchy that is ruling us, you know MiLords.  Not to say that MiLords will not fight us when we take over local zoning, but they will have to wage 10,000 little battles and we will be on home turf (sort of like why we had a big advantage over King George III in the 1770’s).

 

Frankly fighting this battle is not high on my personal list.  I am assuming that if things get really tough and people start making things locally, nobody is going to be enforcing zoning laws.  But for those of you who like to duke it out with the County Board of Supervisors or the City Council, I applaud your efforts to get zoning laws ready for the coming era, when Fusion Enterprises will come into their own.  A good place to start might be fighting for the right to run chickens in your back yard.  

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Taper Tantrum Opportunities

Posted by: Deepcaster

Tagged in: myblog

Deepcaster

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“The first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency: the second is war. Both bring temporary prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunists.”

– Ernest Hemingway

A Tapering Trend any time soon is most unlikely, but Market “Tantrums” emanating from Speculation about Tapers Advent provide Significant Opportunities for the Prepared.

Even if The Fed does begin a bit of Tapering in December, or March, or whenever, (unlikely) it is not likely to last (unless other Central Banks simultaneously increase liquidity to continue to prop up the fragile International Economy). Considering Why reveals Opportunities.

—Recall that every time in the last few months Tapering was treated in the Main Stream Media as if it were a Probability, Major Emerging Markets Equities swooned. The Developed World is The Major Market for the Emerging Market Economies. If Developed World Economies slow or contract so do those of the Emerging Economies.

Thus if Taper is implemented and therefore Stimulus is reduced, Economic Activity is reduced, for the following reasons:

—Since the Primary Effect of Fed Bond Buying is to Maintain low interest rates (Fed Demand for Treasuries and MBS keeps their values artificially high and thus their interest rates artificially low) Tapering would mean rising interest rates (which will happen anyway eventually) and Rising Interest Rates would devastate the Stock Markets World Wide, and …

—Corporate Earnings (which QE has kept artificially high by lowering borrowing costs) would be devastated because rising rates would increase borrowing costs on corporate debt.

—Any Housing Market recovery would be aborted by rising Mortgage rates.

—With Margin Debt at record levels, over-leveraged players would go into The Tank.

Opportunities flow from the aforementioned.

—Expect Markets to rally as “no Tapering this Month” Decisions are announced.

—In the unlikely event a Tapering is announced and Markets consequently Dip, buy the Dips, a halt to Tapering (and at some point/s even an increase in QE!) is likely to be announced soon thereafter. (This suggestion applies for the very short term only, since a Major Market Crash is likely to launch some time in 2014).

—And do not bet that a Continuation of QE (i.e., no Tapering) will help the Real Economy (Japan’s QE has lasted for decades and that QE has not revived the Japanese Economy). QE merely artificially boasts Asset Prices, which is why Carl Icahn is correct when he says corporate earnings are a “mirage.”

—Continuing QE is aimed mainly at propping up the Mega-Banks, but also is destroying the US$ as the World’s Reserve Currency.

A “No Tapering This Month” Decision some week soon may well be the Catalyst which launches Gold and Silver up, finally, into their Great Rally. Be prepared.

Best regards,

Deepcaster December 13, 2013

 

“The first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency: the second is war. Both bring temporary prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunists.”

– Ernest Hemingway

A Tapering Trend any time soon is most unlikely, but Market “Tantrums” emanating from Speculation about Tapers Advent provide Significant Opportunities for the Prepared.

Even if The Fed does begin a bit of Tapering in December, or March, or whenever, (unlikely) it is not likely to last (unless other Central Banks simultaneously increase liquidity to continue to prop up the fragile International Economy). Considering Why reveals Opportunities.

—Recall that every time in the last few months Tapering was treated in the Main Stream Media as if it were a Probability, Major Emerging Markets Equities swooned. The Developed World is The Major Market for the Emerging Market Economies. If Developed World Economies slow or contract so do those of the Emerging Economies.

Thus if Taper is implemented and therefore Stimulus is reduced, Economic Activity is reduced, for the following reasons:

—Since the Primary Effect of Fed Bond Buying is to Maintain low interest rates (Fed Demand for Treasuries and MBS keeps their values artificially high and thus their interest rates artificially low) Tapering would mean rising interest rates (which will happen anyway eventually) and Rising Interest Rates would devastate the Stock Markets World Wide, and …

—Corporate Earnings (which QE has kept artificially high by lowering borrowing costs) would be devastated because rising rates would increase borrowing costs on corporate debt.

—Any Housing Market recovery would be aborted by rising Mortgage rates.

—With Margin Debt at record levels, over-leveraged players would go into The Tank.

Opportunities flow from the aforementioned.

—Expect Markets to rally as “no Tapering this Month” Decisions are announced.

—In the unlikely event a Tapering is announced and Markets consequently Dip, buy the Dips, a halt to Tapering (and at some point/s even an increase in QE!) is likely to be announced soon thereafter. (This suggestion applies for the very short term only, since a Major Market Crash is likely to launch some time in 2014).

—And do not bet that a Continuation of QE (i.e., no Tapering) will help the Real Economy (Japan’s QE has lasted for decades and that QE has not revived the Japanese Economy). QE merely artificially boasts Asset Prices, which is why Carl Icahn is correct when he says corporate earnings are a “mirage.”

—Continuing QE is aimed mainly at propping up the Mega-Banks, but also is destroying the US$ as the World’s Reserve Currency.

A “No Tapering This Month” Decision some week soon may well be the Catalyst which launches Gold and Silver up, finally, into their Great Rally. Be prepared.

Best regards,

Deepcaster December 13, 2013


MiLords Are Not United

Posted by: FusionEnterprise

Tagged in: Untagged 

FusionEnterprise

The ancient Greeks figured it out and took steps to keep their democracy from being swamped by an Oligarchy of elites.  There is you see, an identified “Iron Law of Oligarchy,” which states:  “Who says organization says oligarchy.” A corollary to this statement is that a large complex democracy cannot exist.  It must transform into an Oligarchy.  This is highly relevant to our present condition where we are at the mercy of .1% or one in a thousand.  I choose to call this powerful minority MiLords, since a mil is one thousandth of a unit. 

Setting aside the question of our ever having been a democracy, we can agree that the terms of engagement are at a crisis point with MiLords controlling an ever increasing share of wealth and using that wealth to wield power.   Now before you shake your head and click on to another story, I want to say one thing: this is not a conspiracy in the purest sense of the term.  I am not suggesting that there is a unified movement of the very rich designed to control every aspect of our lives.  They are only united in one singular goal and that is what Winters calls the “Income Defense Industry.”

You see MiLords are not united on much else.  Their social agendas do not match.  Their political agendas are practical not ideological so there is no world standard.  It is a “Warring Oligarchy” that only comes together to defend the borders of wealth.  So on many issues, MiLords let us duke it out.  In fact they are quite happy that we have something to fight about so that we do not pay too much attention to their ultimate agenda.  They love it when conservatives lob bombs at liberals calling them socialists and liberals chastise conservatives for their inhumanity.  In the end they do not have to finance bread and circuses.  They can sit back and enjoy the circus put on by zealots from all quarters.

The problem would be much easier to address if MiLords were united.  We could clearly identify them as the oppressors and launch a revolution.  But their disunity protects them and makes it extremely difficult to find a place to stand to move a lever let alone identify a fulcrum to lean against.  To this dilemma I suggest two strategies.

The first is to simply refuse to play their game which is centered around a contrivance called money.  Money that is rooted in debt, compounded by a fractional reserve system that must escalate to survive.  A Ponzi scheme that in its present iteration has taken 100 years to blow up.  We can choose Visualizing Intrinsic Value Alignment instead and work to create a Fusion Economy.  We can support productivity over exploitation, well being over consumerism, etc.  This is a grass roots approach and must avoid being corralled by a “movement” lest it succumb to the Iron Law of Oligarchy.

 The second strategy is to take a lesson from MiLords and unite behind our goal to disempower MiLords.  To do this means setting aside our religious, economic, political and social differences to be fought out on a different battle field.   We cannot allow MiLords to taunt us into disbanding.   If MiLords use myths to keep us bound into factions, then we must demystify our world.  It is a myth that we live in a democracy for example and to identify and understand the Oligarchy is a step toward dispelling the myth.

 I suggest that the starting point is to name the Oligarchy.  I have settled upon MiLords but that will not likely be the final accepted designation.  It is vital that there be an agreed upon term so that we can get on with the task of defining this “Warring Oligarchy.”  The name must embody the fact that this is a very narrowly construed Oligarchy with Income Defense as its goal.  It is more insidious than a conspiracy.  And it has over reached.  Income Defense has been replaced by Wealth Abrogation.  Greed is rotting the log upon which MiLords stand.  No longer content with 10 to 1 disparities in income they are striving for 400 to 1.

 And it will be their downfall.

 

 

 

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Revolution: Will It Happen In My Lifetime?

Posted by: FusionEnterprise

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FusionEnterprise

Revolution: Will It Happen In My Lifetime?

Noun
1. An overthrow or repudiation and the thorough replacement of an established government or political system by the people governed.
2. Sociology  a radical and pervasive change in society and the social structure, especially one made suddenly and often accompanied by violence.

The question I would like to address here is this: can we the people foment a non-violent revolution that will bring about much needed radical and pervasive change in our social, economic and political structure?

In my first entry, I have outlined seven areas of focus for this blog and the list does not include revolution.  Intrinsic to the list, however, is the notion that investigation into and critical thinking about these seven disciplines, by a small minority of folks, will set the stage for profound change in our society.  Some posit that even as few as 5% of the population can influence direction and tip the balance toward profound change.  My hope is that we can think our way toward action oriented strategies and avoid the chaos, destruction and bloodshed that could occur as the culmination of our present folly.

My premise is this: we are living in an oligarchy made up of large corporations (food production chain, pharma, chemical, energy, etc.), a web of financial entities (Goldman Sachs and the like), mega-banks (JP Morgan, etc.) and last but not least, Central Banks (our own dear Federal Reserve and its cousins all over the world).  In this construction of the way things are, it really doesn’t matter much whether a Democrat or Republican is in power.  It does matter a lot that we can be distracted by the discord between them, but ultimately they are there to do the will of the Oligarchy. 

For instance, Obama is finally starting to make some noise about the obscene disparities in wealth distribution, but his own Attorney General, chief law enforcement officer of the land, has declared in testimony before congress that he will not prosecute known crimes by “Banksters” (not his term) since it would hurt the world economy.  Republicans are more forthright in their support of the wealthy, wrapping themselves in the flag of free enterprise, but for all practical purposes there is very little difference in what would have happened under McCain/Romney or Obama.  The maverick McCain was already “tamed” during the time leading up to the election of 2008 and Romney… well let’s just say that Romney was drinking (swimming in?)the cool aid and seemingly had no idea he was running to be the stooge, not President.

So, if your response to what is going on is to rant against Republicans for propagating wealth distribution upwards (with trickle down to create more minimum wage jobs), or against Democrats for propagating wealth downwards (you know, Socialism, ugh), then you are falling into a trap (for sure I am guilty of doing this at times) designed by the Oligarchy to keep us docile.  Ferociously docile, but docile for all intents and purposes.  I implore you to take the time to get the facts and apply critical thinking.  Go back in history and look at the roots of money and banking. 

If you are looking for a short cut, just go back 100 years to the formation of the Federal Reserve and come forward through the myriad attempts to curb the excessive power granted this a private bank, and the Oligarchy’s responses often cloaked in “reform” legislation.  Take a stop along the way to study the confiscation of Gold (by Democrat FDR) at one price and setting the price six months later at a level 75% higher, and the Securities Laws of the early 30’s, and Bretton Woods (1944) elevating the dollar to reserve currency status, and Nixon taking us off Gold and establishing Petrodollars, and the final bringing down of the walls separating banking, finance and insurance (signed into law by President Clinton).  If you’re really keen, take a look at the efforts to control the world order with patent law using the World Trade Organization as the war horse.

If you accept the premise that we are no longer a free society with a democratic form of government, then we can turn to the question of revolution and address the issue of violence.  My second premise is that an organized violent revolution will not occur and even if it did, would be crushed with impunity under the freedom flag of our sacred constitution.  It will not occur because the gun rights folks have been captured by the Oligarchy and will go down shooting in defense of property rights, defending their one acre against “socialists,” while the corporations with 10,000 acres smile benevolently from their bunkers.  Even if it did occur, the razor wire enclosures to squelch the revolution have already been built and ammunition has already been bought up.  And military coups, not part of our lexicon, would be pre-empted by the Oligarchy. 

This is not to say that there will not be violence.  It is simply to say that I do not see much hope in relying upon a violent uprising to replace the present order with anything revolutionary.  If it is attempted, it will be squelched.  If it were to “succeed” against all odds, the subsequent societal structures would be shaped by the very powers that we are subject to now.   I posit that centralized mega movements are subject to manipulation. I suggest therefore that we look for grass roots actions that can shape the future organically and be spread biologically from cell to cell, without a manifesto and without violence.  Impossible you say?  Perhaps you are right.  But can we try?

Fusion Enterprise

I put forward a term to describe an old way of doing business.  An old way based on credit instead of debt, innovation in the commons instead of patent controls, well being instead of consumerism, intrinsic value instead of paper derivatives, respect for our world instead of exploitation of commodities and acceptance of the other instead of religious fundamentalism.  I borrow this term from David Martin (invertedalchemy.blogspot.com) and encourage you to read his blog.  It is out of this mix that I have coined the phrase Visualizing Intrinsic Value Alignment (VIVA).

 

My attempt to visualize a world made up of Fusion Enterprises will flow through a continued discussion of the seven topics outlined more than a year ago.  I welcome your thoughts.  I only ask you to set aside the rancor of debates pitting Liberal Socialist against Conservative Reactionaries.  If that is where you want to go with this, you are totally missing the point.  Take it elsewhere, I beg you.  You can argue that a violent uprising is the only way to succeed (and I will disagree) but please don’t argue that we simply need to get the House under Democratic control or that all we need to do is impeach Obama.  You will be succumbing to the Oligarchy’s desire to divide and subjugate.  I suggest that if we engage sincerely we will find that we have similar ideas about what our intrinsic values are.  And we can get on with the business of shaping our future and rise above the machinations of President Snow (yes we can learn something from the Hunger Games).

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“Tulipmania was the first major financial bubble. Investors began to madly purchase tulips, pushing their prices up to unprecedented highs; the average price of a single flower bulb exceeded ten times the annual income of a skilled craftsman. Tulips sold for over 4000 florins, the currency of the Netherlands at the time. As prices drastically collapsed over the course of a week, many tulip holders instantly went bankrupt.”

investopedia.com

It is no secret that an investment in Bitcoins – the Digital Non-National Currency – has generated Phenomenal Profits recently. Profits, that is, for those who bought early and chose to sell before the recent Chinese “Bitcoin Veto” Announcement.

But as an unbacked Fiat Currency, (i.e., unbacked by any Tangible Asset such as Gold and thus without Intrinsic Value) Bitcoin is more than a Bit Vulnerable to Tulipmania, that is, to Speculative Booms and Crashes and Ultimate Destruction – the Fate of all such Fiat Currencies in World History. But there is a way to Profit and Protect from the ongoing Bitcoin Tulipmania, without the Great Risk of taking Speculative Long or Short position in Bitcoins themselves. Read on.

For sure, Bitcoins have many advantages. They are not subject to capital controls or price controls of Major Nations. And they facilitate Transactional Anonymity and Ease. These characteristics are likely why Bitcoins trade in Argentina for more than 30% more than elsewhere – an apparent attempt to avoid Argentinian Rampant Inflation and Capital controls. And similarly, it is why they are Popular in China. It is not a Bit surprising, therefore, they have not been depreciating, so far, but rather in an appreciating trend.

Thus it is claimed with some justification that Bitcoin is an Alternative to Fiat Currencies, but so are Gold and Silver.

But there are Serious Issues and Risks with Bitcoin.

Its rapid run-up in Price (vis à vis other Fiat Currencies) suggests Speculators are driving the Market – a Market Now characterized by Mania – consider the recent Headline “Bitcoin Boom Spreads to iPhones with Mobile Payment Apps.”

This Mania indicates there is a Great Price Vulnerability because, as a Market driven by Speculators, it indicates The Bitcoin Market is a Bitcoin Version of Tulipmania.

And since there is no Tangible Asset (not even Tulips!) or Intrinsic Value backing Bitcoin, it is just as subject to Crashing. Bitcoin owners learned that the hard way this week when, after China banned Financial Institutions Bitcoin Transactions, Bitcoin fell from $1240 to $870, on MT.GOX, a Major Bitcoin Exchange. As we write, it has recovered to over $1000, but not back over $1200.

Another Issue is that no Major Nation, so far as we are yet aware, has yet imposed a Taxation Regime upon it. In the U.S., one Question would be: are Gains (Losses) in the currency subject to Treatment as Capital Gains or Ordinary Income?

Official Silence (thus far) on Taxation issues, plus the Anonymity and Ease of Transferability potentially provides an Opening for Criminals who choose to engage in Money Laundering or Tax Avoidance. Thus, there is every reason to expect that the Authorities, everywhere, will not allow this Criminal Opportunity to remain open much longer.

But perhaps the Greatest Vulnerability is the Fact that as an Alternative Currency not created by, or thus far, subject to the control of any Central Bank, Bitcoins are a de facto competition to Central Banks. Does anyone really believe Central Banks will allow such competition with their Fiat Currencies and Treasury Securities as Stores and Measures of Value to continue for long?

Consider for example, the past and ongoing Suppression of the Prices of Gold and Silver by the Mega Bank Cartel (Note 1). Clearly the Mega Bankers do not take kindly to Competition to their Fiat Currencies and Treasury Securities provided by the Precious Monetary Metals, Gold and Silver, and are willing to Act to Stop it.

So what next? Permit us to engage in a Bit of Speculation.

Assume The Private, for-profit Fed and other Central Banks have decided they do not like the Bitcoin Competition, one little Bit.

And Suppose they were/are among the Speculators now purchasing Bitcoin and thus facilitating its rise to new heights vis à vis other Fiat Currencies.

And then Suppose the Central Banks decide to Sell in concert, in Massive Quantities much like, well, much like the Mega-Banks and their Agents Sell (and have for years been selling) massively into the Gold and Silver Market to depress Prices, as has been well documented by The Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee (gata.org), Deepcaster, and many other commentators.

Given the lightning fast Transaction Speed in our Digital Age is there any reason to think that a Massive Crash would take more than a few seconds (at most) to implement…to implement a Devastating Bitcoin Tulipmania Crash, as it were, wiping out all the Speculators. It would be difficult if not impossible for Bitcoin to recover from such a Crash, since it is not backed, even by Tulip Bulbs.

In such event (likely in our opinion), who/and what would, and could, benefit?

As usual these days, China, the World’s Great Creditor, and Greatest Producer and Importer of Gold, shows the way.

As noted, China very recently banned Financial Institutions from Bitcoin Transactions.

And, further consider that, since the Private, for-Profit Fed is facilitating the demise of the $US as the World’s Reserve Currency with its “insane” (former OMB Director David Stockman) $US Destructive Policy, a Gold-backed Chinese Yuan is set to displace it some year, or month, soon.

So, while a Bitcoin Tulipmania Crash would marginally benefit other Fiat Currencies left standing it would massively benefit a Gold-backed Yuan, and Gold Bullion itself.

So we conclude with a Bit of Wisdom. The New Coins of the Realm which are likely to show a Great Profit after a Bitcoin Tulipmania Crash, will likely be Gold (and Silver) and a Gold-backed Yuan.

But this Hypothesis of a Central-Bank orchestrated Bitcoin Crash is all Just a Bit of … Speculation … which you likely heard here first.

Best regards,

Deepcaster December 6, 2013

Note 1: We encourage those who doubt the scope and power of Overt and Covert Interventions by a Fed-led Cartel of Key Central Bankers and Favored Financial Institutions to read Deepcaster’s December, 2009, Special Alert containing a summary overview of Intervention entitled “Forecasts and December, 2009 Special Alert: Profiting From The Cartel’s Dark Interventions - III” and Deepcaster’s July, 2010 Letter entitled "Profit from a Weakening Cartel; Buy Reco; Forecasts: Gold, Silver, Equities, Crude Oil, U.S. Dollar & U.S. T-Notes & T-Bonds" in the ‘Alerts Cache’ and ‘Latest Letter’ Cache at www.deepcaster.com. Also consider the substantial evidence collected by the Gold AntiTrust Action Committee at www.gata.org, including testimony before the CFTC, for information on precious metals price manipulation. Virtually all of the evidence for Intervention has been gleaned from publicly available records. Deepcaster’s profitable recommendations displayed at www.deepcaster.com have been facilitated by attention to these “Interventionals.” Attention to The Interventionals facilitated Deepcaster’s recommending five short positions prior to the Fall, 2008 Market Crash all of which were subsequently liquidated profitably.

 


Market Movers into 2014

Posted by: Deepcaster

Tagged in: myblog

Deepcaster

 

“The World is Getting Closer to that End Game Every Day,”

Jim Rickards, “Currency Wars, The Making of the Next Global Crisis”

Powerful Forces Extrinsic to the Markets will determine Key Market Moves over the next few months and beyond. We identify certain of those here and indicate how they are likely to affect the Markets.

For example, “Fundamentals,” Technicals, and Interventionals all now point to an Impending (extrinsically generated) Big Move to Climax in one Key Sector, which we identified in our December Letter.

But one overwhelming Powerful Extrinsic Force has already begun to Manifest itself – and to move Markets – and will increasingly do so — Resource Nationalism

The Newly Elected self-described Pro-Business Government of Australia just determined that it was “not in Australia’s National Interest” to allow the American Ag Company Archer Daniels Midland to acquire the Australian Company, Graincorp.

And China’s recent Expansion of its Air Defense Zone to include Islands claimed by Japan is surely motivated by the significant Undersea Reserves of Oil and Gas Found around these Islands.

And France just denied Hess Oil Company Exploration Permits in the Paris Basin. Resource Nationalism is Intensifying.

Regarding The Impending Move we earlier forecast, it has been Developing for some time now , but we call our Readers attention to it again because the Fundamentals, Technicals and Interventionals are all indicating it could begin to Climax any time now.

Let us explain why we expect that move at all, and why we expect it very soon.

We must not forget that Equities have been and continue to Float Up on Sea of Fed (and other Central Bank) created QE, including especially the Ultra-low borrowing costs that have artificially inflated Corporate Balance sheets.

Moreover, Equities levels have a 90% Correlation to the size of The Fed’s Balance Sheet, a Balance Sheet which continues to grow.

Never mind that Present and immediately Prospective Equities levels are thereby a “Mirage” as Carl Icahn correctly characterizes them because they have elevated on Fed QE. Nonetheless, the levels are what they are. So where are they likely to go for the next few weeks?

If one considers that in the next few weeks

  • The Fed is not likely to Taper, or to Taper only insignificantly
  • That “Easy Money” Janet Yellen is likely to be confirmed as Fed Chairman
  • That Certain Key Equities Technicals remain Bullish (but see below)
  • That the Administrations of the U.S., China, and other Major Nations are likely to continue manipulating Key Statistics, such as GDP, Employment, and Inflation.
    In other words these Official Statistics are Bogus. [Deepcaster relies on Reliable producers of Accurate Statistics such as, primarily, Shadowstats.com for the USA.]

As a result, Corporate Earnings appear (cf. above) Robust. And Key Statistics appear Mildly Bullish, Easy Fed Money is likely to continue.

Certain (but not all) Key Technicals are very Bullish short-term. (See Caveat below.)

Conclusion: Short-term and into Year-End, we expect to see the Final Blow off Top Phase of the Equities Rally. Indeed, Equities have been moving steadily up since early October.

However, technically they (cf. the S&P) have formed an ascending Bearing Wedge. Thus it is no surprise that while “Retail” Investors are jumping into the Market, Institutional “Smart Money” is beginning to exit.

In sum, while we Expect Equities to be higher at year-end than they are now, we expect The Big Move – a sudden Decline of 5 to 10% followed by a Snap Back up leading to our Target Highs (per our December Letter) just before or after Year-End.

That would set the Stage in 2014 for the beginning The Endgame, as Rickards puts it.

Rickards is right to be concerned. Looking out to the mid and long term, Fundamentals (e.g., impending U.S. Budget and Debt Ceiling Battles) as well as long term Equities Charts with their Expanding “Jaws of Death” Wedge, are quite Bearish. Indeed, according to The Buffet Rule one should not invest in Equities Now. To paraphrase

Investors should be buyers of stocks when the aggregate market cap of the largest 5,000 companies in the US, as measured by Wilshire 5,000, falls in the range of 70% to 80% of US GNP. Today, that ratio stands at 109%. (Since 2009, the Wilshire 5,000 has risen 68%. But US Economy has grown just 17%.)

And there are two other indicators that, Mid and Long Term, Equities are set to Crash beginning some time in 2014: 1) Interest Rates have begun to rise and 2) Excessive Leverage-Margin Debt (September) is at an all-time high of over $400 Million. We shall be watching the Timing Signals very carefully.

So, amidst looming Uncertainty and Threats, what are the Prospects for Real Money? Thus far, Gold and Silver Prices continue to be vulnerable to Cartel (Note 1) Generated Takedowns.

ZeroHedge graphically describes the Cartel’s early Monday (11/25/2013) Morning Raid.

“Shortly after 1amET this morning, someone with no apparent fiduciary duty to their client's for best execution or any apparent trade allocation expertise decided it was time to dump 1500 contracts into an entirely illiquid gold futures market. The 150,000 ounce notional sell order ($184.5 million), captured graphically by Nanex, sent the price down $10 instantaneously, tripped the exchange's circuit breakers and halted the market's trading for 20 seconds (once again). This is now the 4th market halt in the past 3 months (and this time on no news whatsoever)”

“Gold Hammering Leads To Another Overnight Gold Market Halt”
ZeroHedge, 11/25/13

Can these Cartel-generated Takedowns successfully continue? We have recently forecast the Duration of the Current Takedown and that when completed it will likely Mark the long-term Base for the subsequent Great Launch Up for Gold, Silver and the Miners. Why?

Looking ahead, the Prospects for The Great Launch Up beginning by early 2014 are increasingly bolstered by the fact that Physical Bullion Supplies available for Delivery continue to Deplete – A recent report from the Comex shows the Registered (Available for Delivery) has shrunk to about 630,000 ounces. And the Demand for and Recognition of the Importance of, Physical, is increasing. The Swiss Nationalist Party is pushing an Initiative to Restrict the Export of Physical Gold Bullion from Switzerland.

But the Great Vulnerability in the Market is not the Gold and Silver Price, the Prospects for which are increasingly Bright, but the Dismal Prospects for the $US.

The $US value has eroded a bit over the past couple of weeks basis USDX, and this is no surprise given the prospective ascendency of Easy Money Janet Yellen to be Fed Head.

Longer term, regarding the $US, $US Strength will likely not last for many more months either. Indeed, long-term the $US is likely doomed as the World’s Reserve Currency. China has already entered into Bilateral Currency Swap Deals with a number of Major Countries, and is the leading importer of Gold A Gold-backed Yuan as the New World Reserve Currency is on the Horizon.

The Move away from the $US as the World’s Reserve Currency has begun, and will accelerate.

Therefore, we can expect Easy Money Policies including Fed Bond Buying via QE to continue indefinitely.

This will likely keep rates on the U.S. 10 year Note below 3% for a while more, but cannot keep them from rising indefinitely. There is simply too much Fed-created Hot Money in the System. This occurs because Fed QE suppresses interest rates, which lowers borrowing costs, which artificially elevates corporate Earnings. These earnings are thus Hot, i.e., artificially created, money. Carl Icahn is therefore correct to call corporate earnings “a mirage.”

Even so, the Fundamental pressure for higher rates will eventually overwhelm Fed action therefore, short- to mid-term, we expect rates to creep up toward 3% on the 10 year.

Only when we face the Travails of early 2014 do we expect to see U.S. Treasury Bond Strength again and yields well below 3% again, but only for a very few months. After that we expect the Great Bond Bubble to burst, and Hyperinflations to take Hold. See “Fed has created an Inflation ‘Time Bomb’ Michael Kling, MoneyNews, 11/26/13.

But the Fact that other Major Nations are also devaluing their Fiat currencies via “Printing” guarantees Inflaiton of Tangible Asset Prices.

Finally, the Crude Oil Price is another Inflation Canary in the Monetary Mine.

Crude Prices took a bit of a hit when the provisional Iran Deal was announced, not so much because of the prospect of additional Crude coming on the Market, but rather because it indicates a Move toward Peace rather than War.

As well, Rising Inventories have raised WTI’s discount to Brent to an 8 Month high.

In addition to the Iran Deal, NY Fed head Bill Dudley’s recent “Taper will be reduced” talk served to take WTI Crude down to the low $90s as we write.

However, based on a similar Rationale as that for our Equities forecast above, we do expect an Equities and Crude Price Rally to begin very soon and carry into year end. Indeed, increasing Tension between China and Japan over the Disputed Islands in the South China See may provide a boost to Crude Prices as well.

Only the launching of The Great Crash, likely beginning later in 2014, will serve to deflate Crude Prices significantly once again.

Resource Nationalism, the Prospects for War and Peace, Intervention in Key Markets by Governmental and Quasi-Governmental Entities (competitive Fiat Currency Printing and Hyperinflation Prospects) and Increasing Demand for Hard Assets are the Extrinsic Forces which will move the Markets going into 2014.

Best regards,

Deepcaster November 29, 2013

Note 1: We encourage those who doubt the scope and power of Overt and Covert Interventions by a Fed-led Cartel of Key Central Bankers and Favored Financial Institutions to read Deepcaster’s December, 2009, Special Alert containing a summary overview of Intervention entitled “Forecasts and December, 2009 Special Alert: Profiting From The Cartel’s Dark Interventions - III” and Deepcaster’s July, 2010 Letter entitled "Profit from a Weakening Cartel; Buy Reco; Forecasts: Gold, Silver, Equities, Crude Oil, U.S. Dollar & U.S. T-Notes & T-Bonds" in the ‘Alerts Cache’ and ‘Latest Letter’ Cache at www.deepcaster.com. Also consider the substantial evidence collected by the Gold AntiTrust Action Committee at www.gata.org, including testimony before the CFTC, for information on precious metals price manipulation. Virtually all of the evidence for Intervention has been gleaned from publicly available records. Deepcaster’s profitable recommendations displayed at www.deepcaster.com have been facilitated by attention to these “Interventionals.” Attention to The Interventionals facilitated Deepcaster’s recommending five short positions prior to the Fall, 2008 Market Crash all of which were subsequently liquidated profitably.


Two Great Bubble Threats, One Great Opportunity

Posted by: Deepcaster

Tagged in: myblog

Deepcaster

 

“I am very cautious on equities today, This market could easily have a big drop. Very simplistically put, a lot of the earnings are a mirage. They are not coming because the companies are well run but because of low interest rates.”

11/18/13 - Carl Icahn

Very smart Investor Carl Icahn is right to call “a lot of” corporate earnings a “mirage” because by reducing borrowing costs via ongoing QE, The Fed has artificially elevated earnings.

Thus Corporate Earnings are yet another Dangerous Fed-created Asset Bubble.

With Janet Yellen’s appointment as Fed Chairman nearly a Slam Dunk (albeit a Bad One) we can expect Easy Money Policies including Bond Buying via QE to continue indefinitely.

This will likely keep rates on the 10 year below 3% for a little while more but cannot keep them from rising indefinitely. There is simply too much Fed-created Hot Money in the System. Hot Money Bubbles are inflating because Fed QE suppresses interest rates, which lowers borrowing costs, which artificially elevates corporate Earnings. These earnings are thus Hot, i.e., artificially created, money. Remove or lessen the QE and the Bubble Bursts. Carl Icahn is therefore correct to call corporate earnings “a mirage.” And such a Mirage is a Dangerous Bubble!

“It is almost comical watching stocks soaring into the stratosphere negating one negative technical warning after another and reaching levels that defy rational thinking, yet here we are.
“The investing world has been perfectly conditioned by the Central Bankers to buy every single dip, throw caution to the wind, make the word "risk" archaic, and continue to shove stocks higher and higher and higher with no end in sight. It is absolutely astonishing to watch this thing unfold. “Apparently all that is needed to make the very concept of a bear market in stocks obsolete is for endless money printing. There appears to be no consequences whatsoever to this madness as it is now the new normal.


“Maybe we will see 1800 in the S&P 500 before the month is out. Who knows? As a trader you have to go with the money flow and the chart but as an observer with a sense of history, you have to shake your head in both bewilderment and sadness. Bewilderment that so many otherwise intelligent individuals see nothing wrong with a near-permanent money creation scheme and sadness, that so many can be herded into something which has no rational basis other than the fact that it is going up.
“I do need to make one quick comment - I have stated that the broad universe of investors see no inflation signs whatsoever. Yet, one thing should be very evident - the stock market is a perfect picture of near runaway inflation but in paper assets.”

“The Bubble Keeps Getting Bigger,” Dan Norcini traderdannorcini.blogspot.com, 11/13/2013

But this Bubble creates a Great Opportunity, as we explain.

Prospectively, the Fundamental pressure (via the increasing amounts of Hot Money) for higher rates will eventually overwhelm Fed action therefore, we expect rates to continue to rise slowly, then very rapidly suddenly (see our Timing Forecasts). That is because at some point ongoing Hot Money creation crashes the Purchasing Power of the $US. Clearly, China is already working to displace the $US with a Gold-Backed Yuan as the New World Reserve Currency. When Investors and Sovereigns see this clearly there will be a Massive Flight from the $US.

As well, ongoing Fed QE not only creates an ever-more-Dangerous Bubble in the Equities Market, but also a Great Bubble in the artificially elevated Bond Market (resulting, for the past few years, in artificially suppressed interest rates). This Bubble too will break. So where to turn for Profit and Protection?

In a Non-Manipulated Market, The Massive Monetary Inflation generated by ongoing QE would generate Great Price Increases in non-Fiat (i.e., Real) Money – Gold and Silver.

But as regular Readers already know, Fed and other Central Banks, i.e., The Cartel (Note 1) have for years been conducting ongoing suppression of Paper Gold and Silver Prices, creating a Reverse Bubble, if you will.

But this Suppression is creating a Great Opportunity to buy Physical Gold and Silver at Bargain Prices. But one should invest with one’s eyes open as to the likely course and timing and results of Cartel Intervention attempts.

Consider that ‘James Mc,’ writing at LeMetropoleCafe, has become depressed because at the very likely prospect of a Takedown, but we see it as an Opportunity.

“I now see a period coming up having extremely high odds of further cartel smashes. Judging by the past 2 years of in-your-face, no regulation, blatant to extreme manipulation I'd say the odds exceed 95%... I'm issuing a severe cartel intervention warning from Friday, November 22 to Friday, December 6th. Cartel interventions and flash crashes during this period have a history of producing severe financial damage to long-based derivative portfolios. The timing of the severe cartel warning is as follows:

“Friday 11/22: Pre-option expiration Friday. “Monday 11/25: Dec. gold and silver option expirations. “Friday 11/29: Illiquid Thanksgiving holiday trade “and Dec. gold, silver first notice days. “Friday 12/6: Non-farm payroll Friday.

“If recent history is any guide they will be gunning for this period. I'd rather stick my hand into a pile of burning coal embers rather than take a long position ahead of this period.”

But even if that Prospective Takedown occurs, the Great Opportunity to buy Physical is enhanced. This is because stockpiles of Physical available for Delivery are rapidly depleting.

Indeed, Gold shipped from Hong Kong to the Mainland nearly tripled to 855 tonnes in this year to September. And that is just one entry point to Mainland China.

Looking ahead, the Prospects for The Great Launch Up beginning soon are increasingly bolstered by the fact that Physical Bullion Supplies available for Delivery continue to Deplete – A recent report from the Comex shows the Registered (Physical Available for Delivery) has shrunk to about 630,000 ounces. If only 2% of “longs” stand for Delivery, Comex Physical would be exhausted.

And India is starving for Physical Gold

“Indian ex-duty premiums: AM $157.40, PM 155.90, with worth gold at $1243.48 and $1242.85. Far above legal imports point: India continues to starve for gold. At the PM reading local Indian gold was 24.28% above would gold (Thursday24.14%).”

“Early GJ: Cheerful Chinese?,” John Brimelow, 11/22/13

In sum, soon (see our Forecasts) we expect The Great Launch UP (of Both Bullion and the Mining Shares) to begin.

In sum, these Bubble-Threats and Opportunities are the result of The Private, For-Profit Fed’s self-interested policy of protecting their Owners/Mega-Bank Clients above all.

Thus it is no surprise that former Director of the OMB, David Stockman recently said (11/14/13) that the “lunatic” policies of The Fed were engineering a global “collapse”.

But that Prospective Collapse begets a Great Opportunity.

Best regards,

Deepcaster November 22, 2013

Note 1: We encourage those who doubt the scope and power of Overt and Covert Interventions by a Fed-led Cartel of Key Central Bankers and Favored Financial Institutions to read Deepcaster’s December, 2009, Special Alert containing a summary overview of Intervention entitled “Forecasts and December, 2009 Special Alert: Profiting From The Cartel’s Dark Interventions - III” and Deepcaster’s July, 2010 Letter entitled "Profit from a Weakening Cartel; Buy Reco; Forecasts: Gold, Silver, Equities, Crude Oil, U.S. Dollar & U.S. T-Notes & T-Bonds" in the ‘Alerts Cache’ and ‘Latest Letter’ Cache at www.deepcaster.com. Also consider the substantial evidence collected by the Gold AntiTrust Action Committee at www.gata.org, including testimony before the CFTC, for information on precious metals price manipulation. Virtually all of the evidence for Intervention has been gleaned from publicly available records. Deepcaster’s profitable recommendations displayed at www.deepcaster.com have been facilitated by attention to these “Interventionals.” Attention to The Interventionals facilitated Deepcaster’s recommending five short positions prior to the Fall, 2008 Market Crash all of which were subsequently liquidated profitably.

 


Profit and Protect from The Great Race

Posted by: Deepcaster

Tagged in: myblog

Deepcaster

"’I would like to see the truth come out of these confirmation hearings to discuss how completely clueless Janet Yellen was during the housing bubble,’ Schiff suggests by way of warming to the topic. Not only did Yellen fail to see the crash coming, but she was dismissive of the dangers related to our over-leveraged housing economy even as Schiff himself was doing his best to alert the public. ‘She was wrong about everything in the past and I think she will continue to be wrong once she's chairwoman.’

“Schiff says it is Yellen's faith in the fed's ability to cure what ails the economy that will prove to be America's undoing. Having learned nothing from the crisis Yellen will continue to print money until the long-anticipated currency crisis arrives and ‘brings an end to the madness,’ he argues.

“In a sense, the best case scenario is one involving a total meltdown as Schiff sees it. For six years the Fed has enabled an almost total lack of fiscal discipline. Easy money has forestalled a total collapse without ever allowing any corrective economic action. The economy has been in a medically induced coma since 2009. If Yellen is truly as inept as Schiff believes, maybe it's not too much to hope that hyper-easing will be disastrous enough to get America to snap out of it….”

“‘Clueless’ Yellen Will Trigger Collapse (Hopefully): Peter Schiff,” Jeff Mackle, Breakout, finance.yahoo.com

Major Nations around the World are competing in The Great Race.

In the course of this Great Race there will be Great Risks and also Great Opportunities for Profit and Wealth Protection, Opportunities of which we have been, and intend to continue, keeping readers apprised.

We know that The Great Race will continue for a while longer.

We also know that the Race will end Very Badly for Most National Economies and for their Unprepared Citizens, including Unprepared Investors and Traders.

Consider this recent report on the Status of The Great Race

“The European Central Bank cut its key rate last week in a decision some investors say was intended in part to curb the euro after it soared to the strongest level since 2011. The same day, Czech policy makers said they were intervening in the currency market for the first time in 11 years to weaken the koruna. New Zealand said it may delay rate increases to temper its dollar, and Australia warned the Aussie is ‘uncomfortably high….’  

"The moves threaten to spark a new round in what Brazil Finance Minister Guido Mantega in 2010 called a ‘currency war,’ barely two months after the Group of 20 nations pledged to ‘refrain from competitive devaluation’."

“Race to Bottom Resumes as Central Bankers Ease Anew: Currencies” Bloomberg News, 11/11/13

The Action in the U.S. Dollar/Euro just last week ($US up, Euro down) provides a Sterling example of how The Race is playing out.

The Race is The Race of Major National (and Regional) Banks which print Fiat Currencies to competitively Devalue those currencies.

Major Nations are competitively devaluing their currencies, in an effort to support, above all, their Commercial Bank clients/owners, and secondarily to help their economies, their exporters and apparently (given the results of several years of QE) last, their unemployed..

These Devaluations have not broken into open Currency (or Hot Military) Wars, yet. But they may when the Negative Consequences of Devaluation, e.g., Price Hyperinflation, become more apparent, and felt. Competitive Currency Devaluation is a Zero Sum Game.

In sum, these Currency Devaluation “Wars” will continue until they must stop (because, inter alia, they generate Hyperinflation of the Prices of Essential Tangible Assets). That is because most Major Economies are burdened with Unpayable Debt and Sluggish or Contracting Economies and Currency Devaluation is one way to reduce the Burden, but only temporarily.

In order to Profit and Protect, consider two Tangible Assets whose Price is determined in part by Currency Devaluation – the Monetary Metals, Gold and Silver.

Trader Dan’s recent analysis is excellent

“This week and last week, the US Dollar has been higher. Guess what happened to gold over those same two weeks? Yep - it went lower.

“The two weeks previous to those the US Dollar was weaker. Guess what gold did back then? Yes - it went higher.

“It is all coming back to the US Dollar once again. Simply put, rising interest rates in the “US tend to favor additional strength in the US Dollar as traders fear that apparent stronger economic readings will bring the Fed back in on the TAPER SIDE of the QE equation.

“When you toss in the fact that Euroland just got hit with a surprise rate reduction yesterday, is it any wonder why traders are favoring the US Dollar right now? It is also helping the greenback immensely that foreign investment appetite for US equities which continue their one-way trek higher is boosting demand for the US currency as well.

“All of this adds up to some very difficult headwinds for gold to overcome.”

“US Dollar Strength Derailing Gold,” Traderdannorcini.blogspot.com, 11/8/2013

But what is not mentioned is that Cartel (Note 2) Price Suppression has been the Main Force keeping the Prices of the Tangible Asset “Canaries” in the Monetary “Mine,” Gold and Silver, suppressed thus far!

We hasten to say that $US Strength (vis à vis Gold, Silver and Stronger Real Asset Based Currencies) will not last for much longer. Indeed, long-term the $US is likely doomed as the World’s Reserve Currency.

Thus, one Great Opportunity for Profit and Protection is to play the “Hyperinflation is Coming” Card. Consequently, Deepcaster intends to continue to keep readers apprised of probable timing. By the way, it is quite important to note that Official Figures regarding Inflation are Bogus in the U.S., China and other Key Major Nations. For example, The Real Numbers show the U.S. is Threshold Hyperinflationary already with CPI at 8.80% (Note 1).

However, notwithstanding ongoing Cartel Precious Metals Price Suppression attempts, which have been successful so far, the probability of that Great Precious Metal Launch up beginning soon (see our timing forecasts) and being sustained, increases as time passes . And the Miners stocks should explode upward as well.

Recent Positive Price Action in the HUI is encouraging – as Bullish Mining Share Prices often lead Bullish Bullion Moves. Indeed, recently, the HUI generated two Reversal Days in a row recently, and is technically set to launch higher soon but that launch has thus far not occurred. Only Cartel Price suppression can keep Mining stocks down, and that is not likely to last much longer. Unfortunately, it is entirely possible that the Prelude to the Great Launch up will be one more Brief but Major Takedown.

Remember that it is in The Cartel’s interest to demoralize Precious Metal Partisans with repeated Takedowns, and that they may well succeed with Takedowns for a little while longer.

On the Positive Side, Physical Demand will likely soon force even Paper Gold and Silver Prices higher. In the past 6 months Physical Gold eligible for COMEX delivery (so called “Registered”) has been shrinking fast… to 660,000 ounces.

Consider,

The Demand for Bullion in China and India is huge.

If a mere 2% of “longs” hold their positions and ask for delivery, COMEX inventory will be exhausted.

If/when that occurs, there will be a massive spike up in prices.

Hold your Gold and Silver Bullion and Mining Shares for future Protection and Profit.

Another Consequence of The Great Race toward Currency Devaluation has been the “ongoing” Equities Rally fueled by The private, for-profit Fed’s QE. The QE is aimed mainly at helping their shareholders/owners, the Mega-Banks. W hen we take a comparative look at Equities Charts (e.g. the Dow) over time they reflect our earlier, and continuing, forecasts.

A long term Equities Chart (e.g., The Dow) with its Expanding “Jaws of Death” Wedge is quite Bearish, a harbinger of The Great Crash to come. Indeed, according to The Buffet Rule one should not invest in Equities Now.

We paraphrase that Rule

– Investors should be buyers of stocks when the aggregate market cap of the largest 5,000 companies in the US, as measured by Wilshire 5,000, falls in the range of 70% to 80% of US GNP. Today, that ratio stands at 109%. (Since 2009, the Wilshire 5,000 has risen 68%. But US Economy has grown just 17%.)

Consider other signs of the coming Great Equities Crash

–The Shiller P/E of the S&P 500 (the index divided by the 10-year average of inflation-adjusted earnings) is now above 25 – a level that prior to the late-1990s dot-com bubble was seen only in the three weeks prior to the 1929 stock market crash.

–The Price-revenue ratio of the S&P 500 is double its pre-1990s bubble average.

–Over the past 40 years there have only been two other times when the DJIA has risen as fast and as far as it has off its 2009 low. The first was in the run-up to the 1987 crash. The second was in the late 1990s, during the dot-com frenzy.

But monthly and Weekly Dow Charts are Bullish…and this is consistent with our earlier forecast for an Equities Rally (now occurring) prior to the Great Crash. Therefore, re Crash Launch Timing, see our forecasts.

Stay tuned as the Jaws of Death come ever closer to closing.

Best regards,

Deepcaster November 15, 2013

Note 1: Shadowstats.com calculates Key Statistics the way they were calculated in the 1980s and 1990s before Official Data Manipulation began in earnest. Consider

Bogus Official Numbers vs. Real Numbers (per Shadowstats.com)

Annual U.S. Consumer Price Inflation reported October 30, 2013
1.18%     /    8.80%

U.S. Unemployment reported November 8, 2013
7.3%     /     23.5%

U.S. GDP Annual Growth/Decline reported November 7, 2013
1.65%        /     -1.70%

U.S. M3 reported October 24, 2013 (Month of September, Y.O.Y.)
No Official Report     /     4.12% (i.e, total M3 Now at $15.392 Trillion!)

Note 2: We encourage those who doubt the scope and power of Overt and Covert Interventions by a Fed-led Cartel of Key Central Bankers and Favored Financial Institutions to read Deepcaster’s December, 2009, Special Alert containing a summary overview of Intervention entitled “Forecasts and December, 2009 Special Alert: Profiting From The Cartel’s Dark Interventions - III” and Deepcaster’s July, 2010 Letter entitled "Profit from a Weakening Cartel; Buy Reco; Forecasts: Gold, Silver, Equities, Crude Oil, U.S. Dollar & U.S. T-Notes & T-Bonds" in the ‘Alerts Cache’ and ‘Latest Letter’ Cache at www.deepcaster.com. Also consider the substantial evidence collected by the Gold AntiTrust Action Committee at www.gata.org, including testimony before the CFTC, for information on precious metals price manipulation. Virtually all of the evidence for Intervention has been gleaned from publicly available records. Deepcaster’s profitable recommendations displayed at www.deepcaster.com have been facilitated by attention to these “Interventionals.” Attention to The Interventionals facilitated Deepcaster’s recommending five short positions prior to the Fall, 2008 Market Crash all of which were subsequently liquidated profitably.


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