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Friday, December 19, 2014
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Bernanke Can’t Read A Chart

US Commentary

In doing some recent surfing of the mainstream media’s “news”, a Bloomberg headline immediately caught my eye:

Einhorn Finds Dinner Chat With Bernanke ‘Frightening’

As the world’s most-outspoken critic of that monetary charlatan; it was intriguing to see what this market icon found “frightening” about B.S. Bernanke – with such a long list to choose from. My curiosity was rewarded, most-particularly with the following excerpts.

Einhorn had been critical of Bernanke’s willingness to leave interest rates near zero [at zero] for more than five years. The hedge-fund manager has said that the benefits of low rates diminish over time until they are more harmful than helpful

This is the chart upon which Einhorn’s observations are based:

Among other things; the “velocity of money” is an economic barometer which specifically measures the effectiveness of monetary policy. What the chart above shows is that not only were Bernanke’s monetary “policies” (i.e. crimes) becoming steadily less and less effective, but they had (long ago) already become the least effective (i.e. most harmful) monetary policies ever pursued by a Fed chairman.

Einhorn’s observations were thus simply the most-elementary conclusions which any informed observer would reach after viewing that chart. This was Bernanke’s response:

Bernanke responded “you are wrong” to a question about the diminishing returns of having interest rates at zero, according to the hedge-fund manager.

There are only three possible ways in which Bernanke’s response can be interpreted.

1) Bernanke is incapable of understanding the chart above.

2) Bernanke never looked at the chart above.

3) Bernanke is a shameless liar, who would claim that black is white, up is down, or that the U.S. Greater Depression was/is actually “an economic recovery”.

Not having conclusive proof of which interpretation is correct (which would require the ability to see into Bernanke’s mind), the title to this piece is based upon the most-charitable interpretation (1): the former Chairman of the Federal Reserve was/is an economic illiterate. The other, two, possible interpretations are decidedly less-charitable.


Silver, Gold, and (Not Paying) Taxes

Silver Commentary

Regular readers are familiar with my position on precious metals and (capital gains) taxation. Those individuals who swap their (soon-to-be-worthless) paper currencies for legal tender gold and silver coins for the purpose of spending their gold and silver currency should not/will not be exposed to any (supposed) capital gains when they spend their gold and silver.

This is based on both the principles of our taxation system, as well as simple common sense. To begin with; if we swap one paper currency for another paper currency in order to spend the new currency (perhaps for business or travel) there is never any “capital gain” (or capital loss) assessed should the value of the new currency appreciate (or depreciate).

The reason for this is simple. When we swap currencies for the purpose of spending the new currency, our reason for acquiring that new currency is not to sell it for the profit (the basis of all capital gains taxation). Thus a currency-trader is always subject to capital gains when those currencies fluctuate in value, because the currency-trader’s purpose in acquiring that new currency was to sell it for a profit (which does fall squarely within the principle of capital gains taxation).

When a vacationer acquires a new currency, it’s for the purpose of going on a trip, not to make a profit. When we acquire our new gold and silver currencies (legal tender coins), it’s for the purpose of protecting our wealth from the banksters’ currency-dilution scam – not to make a profit.

Regular visitors to my site over the past 5 ½ years will have heard (exclusively) one message: we are “playing defense”. Understand that the rise in the (paper) price of gold and/or silver is largely illusory. It is simply a reflection of the deterioration in value of those paper currencies; the ounce of gold (or silver) has not changed, and cannot change.

Recall what readers have often heard from myself and other commentators: gold (and/or silver) preserves its value (our wealth) over time. A holder of a one ounce gold coin in ancient Rome could buy a fine toga, belt, and sandals with that coin (the standard accouterments of that era for a gentleman). In more recent centuries; that same holder of a one-ounce gold coin could buy a fine suit and accessories (the standard accouterments for a gentleman of our era).

Where is the (supposed) capital gain? The gold-holder is not able to buy more and more suits of clothing over time with his one ounce coin – not even over a span of thousands of years. Gold and silver preserve wealth, they don’t magically conjure new wealth.

Even if some precious metals novice did acquire legal tender gold and silver coins with the thought that this was some “get rich quick scheme”, the only possible way that such a holder of gold/silver could be exposed to any capital gains taxation would be if the gold/silver appreciated in value (versus other assets), because it was previously undervalued.

However, it is our governments (and the bankers, and the media) who insist again that gold and silver are – if anything – presently overvalued. It is our governments who assign miniscule face-values for their legal tender gold and silver coins, clearly implying the metals are presently overvalued in price. Where, then, is there any place for them to argue that the holders of gold/silver have made or are making “capital gains”?

Indeed, recent representations made by the Royal Canadian Mint (in its official advertising) clearly support my own interpretation of capital gains law with respect to those who acquire legal tender gold or silver coins. This comes at the same time that the Mint is endeavouring to scam investors with a sleazy, sales gimmick with respect to a new “limited edition” silver coin it has issued.


The Secret Silver Stockpile, Part III

Silver Commentary

When Part II of this series ended, readers were left with a partial picture of the Secret Silver Stockpile. We have a base number of 1 billion ounces, taken from the work of the esteemed Ted Butler. But missing from this analysis are key pieces of data.

What has been the burn-rate of this stockpile? When were the Silver Users forced to start tapping into this stockpile? These are some of the questions/issues which the conclusion of this series will seek to address.

Obviously the most-important (missing) number is the burn-rate of this “secret” stockpile. A large burn-rate suggests near-term catastrophe for the manipulation games of the One Bank in (at least) the silver market, while a tiny burn-rate may imply no end in sight for our Hostage Markets. Here, at last, we have somewhat reliable data, from a chart which readers saw earlier in this series.

As already noted; between 1990 – 2005, official inventories of silver plummeted by roughly 90%, from approximately 2.2 billion ounces to somewhere around 200 million ounces. Why is this data relatively “more reliable” than other data produced by the same cast of fraudsters who have been feeding us obviously falsified data on both the silver and gold markets?

It’s because showing us this collapse in silver inventories was clearly against the interests of the One Bank. What do we see/hear all the time in the more-recent propaganda from these same, quasi-official sources? The silver market now (supposedly) has “a surplus”. There’s “lots of silver” around to satisfy any/all demand. We don’t believe any of it, but we expect the Liars to make such claims.


The Secret Silver Stockpile, Part II

Silver Commentary

In the first part of this commentary, readers were presented with the context which leads us to believe that there is (must be) a “secret stockpile” of silver, and that the holders of (the vast majority of) this stockpile are the ultra-powerful (industrial) Silver Users, allies of (if not tentacles of) the One Bank.

We know this because the crash in silver inventories between 1990 – 2005 meant we were on a collision-course with inventory default nearly a decade ago. Since that time; silver demand has intensified, while continued price-suppression has led to only anemic growth in mine-supply. These parameters for imminent inventory default have only been hidden by a massive (and clumsy) falsification of inventories.

We know the silver is still being consumed, in industry, in jewelry, and in record quantities of minted (legal tender) silver coins. We know that nearly a decade ago there was no longer enough silver remaining in inventories to satisfy that demand, while the supply-deficit in the silver market persists. Ipso facto, there must be “a secret stockpile” feeding silver into the bankers’ depleted warehouses – and delaying (not preventing) the inevitable default ahead of us.

Thus the purpose of making readers/investors aware of this secret stockpile is not to discourage or daunt them that this stockpile means that the One Bank’s manipulation games in the silver market can be perpetuated forever (or at least into the distant future). Rather, the purpose of this piece is to explain why we haven’t already seen “inventory default”, or simply the collapse of the silver market.

Obviously the two most-important variables here are the size of this stockpile, and the “burn rate” (the rate at which this stockpile is dissipating). With respect to the size of the stockpile; for convenience, let’s assume that this corresponds to Ted Butler’s estimated “global stockpile” (about 1 billion ounces).

Recall the definition of a stockpile: the amount of silver in existence which may come onto the market at some (undetermined) higher price level. With regard to any reserves of silver held by non-Western governments; with silver becoming a “rare earth” metal itself (to quote a quip from Butler), it’s safe to assume that any such stockpiles would not be coming onto the international market – at any price.

With respect to our own holdings of silver; we converted our wealth from paper to metal to escape the bankers’ fraudulent (and effectively worthless) paper currencies. It’s safe to say that for these “strong hands” still holding onto their silver that this silver will also not be coming onto the market – as long as it can only be converted back into this same, fraudulent paper.

This means that deeming all the world’s “stockpile” of silver to be held by the Silver Users is, at worst, only a small fiction. We have no way of precisely verifying this quantity, and we recognize that Mr. Butler’s estimate was (of necessity) a rough approximation. Thus we accept that there is some considerable (upward) latitude as to the size of this stockpile.

We can now safely assume (in hindsight) that there is no downward latitude of Butler’s estimate of a 1 billion ounce global stockpile, because if there was, it would have already been exhausted – and the global silver market would have already collapsed. This becomes apparent once we look at the real burn-rate of stockpiles.


The Secret Silver Stockpile, Part I

Silver Commentary

As indicated in my most-recent commentary; we are very likely already in a Post-Default World in the gold market. Specifically, at some time (likely several years ago) the bankers’ paper “gold market” experienced technical default, where current and immediate claims on existing gold inventories significantly exceeded those inventories.

Actual (versus “official”) inventories of gold in the bankers’ metals warehouses today are now a large, negative number – in the many millions of ounces. Official (and visible) default in the gold market has only been averted by a cornucopia of fraud, primarily “fractional-reserve banking” in the gold market, i.e. through “selling” each ounce of actual gold possessed by the banking cabal to numerous chump-owners.

The magnitude of this ‘fractional-reserve’ fraud is something about which we can only speculate, but we do have parameters. With respect to their own fraudulent, debauched paper currencies; the Western banking crime syndicate is allowed to leverage their paper by a ratio of roughly 33:1. We also know (in this era of mark-to-fantasy “accounting”) that these Big Bank tentacles have (at least) two sets of books.

Furthermore, we know that these career criminals have no respect for any laws; having already been “fined” or “investigated” for any and every form of financial crime capable of being devised within the human mind. The notion that these banksters adhere to mere rules on leverage limits and “reserve” requirements is quaint, and utterly naïve.

In the realm of “bullion trading” (i.e. gold and silver fraud); we also have the testimony of (ex?) Goldman Sachs Stooge, Jeffrey Christian to guide us. It was “100-to-1” Christian who first blurted out (at a CFTC hearing) that the various forms of paper-fraud committed by the bankers in the gold market exceeded the actual amount of gold being traded by a dollar value of 100:1.

In the silver market; we have various reasons for believing that the crisis faced by the banksters in terms of evaporating inventories (and stockpiles) is even more severe/desperate than in the gold market, and thus the level of fraud is likely at least as high, if not higher. The starting point in such suspicions is a now-infamous chart on (supposed) “silver inventories” which the One Bank probably wishes its minions had never created.

The sickening plunge in silver inventories between 1990 and 2005 (where inventories collapsed by 90%) meant that we were already at a crisis-point in the silver market nearly a decade ago, whereas it’s only in the last year or two where anecdotal evidence (and the bankers’ own actions) seem to indicate a crisis in gold inventories – yet actual “default” in the gold market likely occurred several years before this.


Phantom Gold Inventories: Has The Comex Already Defaulted?

Gold Commentary

In the spring of last year, and on the heels of the Cyprus “bail in”; informed investors know there was a global stampede into physical bullion – and out of the banksters’ fraudulent paper-called-gold “products”. In reporting on those events, regular readers saw the following headline:

Paper-Gold Holders Flee To Real Metal

The evidence seemed conclusive. The Cyprus Steal triggered the realization among the Smart Money that no paper asset in the Western world was safe, any longer. That realization instigated the stampede out of the banksters’ paper-called-gold. Total holdings of the largest of the paper-called-gold fraud funds (the SPDR Gold Trust, or “GLD”) ultimately fell by approximately 40%.

However, as investors were liquidating 10’s of millions of ounces of what the bankers call “gold”; the Comex’s gold inventories didn’t rise by 10’s of millions of ounces. In fact those inventories didn’t rise at all – they collapsed. This seemed to indicate that investors were redeeming their GLD paper, and extracting real, physical gold to replace it.

Recent evidence, however, suggests an entirely different interpretation of the precisely synchronized collapse in holdings of the banksters’ paper-called-gold and “official” Comex inventories. But before readers can grasp the significance of this new information, it’s necessary to first visit the silver market – and revisit an old-but-familiar form of inventory fraud which has been covered extensively in previous commentaries.

Long-time readers of my commentaries are familiar with the charts below:

What we notice first is the dramatic, and unprecedented collapse of (Western) silver inventories. In a mere 15-year span (1990 – 2005); we see inventories plummet by more than 90%, from approximately 2.2 billion ounces to (roughly) a mere 200,000,000.


The West’s Slow-Motion Collapse

International Commentary

Many analysts outside the mainstream herd have been making dire predictions about the collapse of the economies of the Western bloc for the past several years, myself included. Those predictions have not come to pass. Does this mean that we were wrong, or at best woefully premature in our thinking? Simply, no.

Analysis (and prediction) is based upon the rational assessment of data. It is (or at least is supposed to be) a purely logical extrapolation based upon existing trends and parameters. Part of this “rational assessment” is the presumption that the various actors and authorities in our markets and economies will respond to these trends and parameters in a rational manner.

This is not merely a reasonable basis for engaging in analysis, it is the only basis. The only option to expecting rational behavior from these various participants would be to expect irrational/arbitrary behavior. However, by definition, irrational/arbitrary behavior is unpredictable. Thus such an approach is no longer “analysis” at all. It devolves into a mere guessing-game.

So we expect rational behavior and rational responses to various economic/market stimuli because we have no other choice, and when we don’t see such behavior this inevitably skews all analysis based on such rational expectations. What is important to note, however, is that irrational/arbitrary behavior (and thinking) does not invalidate such rational assessments and predictions – at least not those based upon Big Picture trends/parameters – it merely alters the time-horizon.

These Big Picture trends are the economic equivalent of the proverbial “irresistible force”, because boiled-down, they are nothing but manifestations of simple arithmetic. Any nation which chooses the (suicidal) economic policy of permanent deficits will default on its debts; it’s just simple arithmetic (i.e. compounding interest on that debt). Any nation which allows its money-printing to spiral higher will produce hyperinflation, it’s just simple arithmetic (if you keep adding water to the lemonade, you will dilute the lemonade).

The purpose of this piece is thus not to defend (no-brainer) predictions which must come true, just as certainly as “2 + 2” will always equal four. Rather, the purpose of this piece is to identify the factors which have prevented these predictions from being validated (so far), and to alert readers to the grave danger of assuming that this slow-motion collapse of Western economies will continue at the same rate.

If there is one thing we have learned with our Wonderland Matrix, it is that the puppet-masters of the One Bank are seemingly “masters of illusion.” But such a conclusion gives these bankers (and their servants in government and the media) far too much credit.

Framed more negatively; we have populations of Sheep across the Western world who have been rendered so myopic through the saturation brainwashing of Western media that they would not “see” a brick wall directly in front of their own eyes – unless/until they were first told to look for it. The proof is in the numbers, the numbers from the real world.

It would be impossible for any of the Sheep to believe the lies of “jobs, jobs, jobs” in the U.S. economy, if they simply saw with their own eyes that there are less people working in the U.S. economy each month.

It would be impossible for any of the Sheep to believe the lies that “inflation is too low”, if they simply saw with their own eyes the hyperinflationary spiral of U.S. money-printing (and money-printing across the Western world).


The USA: Worst Government That Money Can Buy

US Commentary

History tells us that when governments become excessively oppressive and/or descend into saturation corruption (like the rancid regimes of the Western bloc), that such scenarios rarely “end well” – i.e. a peaceful transition back to responsible, legitimate government. Instead, the peasants/serfs/workers are nearly always driven to a state of desperation (generally near-starvation) before they finally pull out their pitchforks and guillotines, and take back their own government.

Obviously, then, the goal of commentators such as myself and other truth-tellers today is to try to reach a large percentage of our own “peasants”, the Sheep who are currently passively lapping-up the daily fiction from our Corporate media propaganda machine, before they devolve to such a state of poverty/desperation. Then once honestly informed, the presumption is that this knowledge would then power peaceful and orderly change via the ballot box.

In turn, we have seen the response of the One Bank to such messages: my own work has been systematically censored from any/all mainstream outlets, and many other alternative “voices” have also been snuffed-out one way or another. But this is only half of the One Bank’s campaign to ensure that the peasants of the United States (in particular) are never well-informed as they head to the ballot-box each election to vote for one half or the other of its own, two-headed political hydra.

The other half of this systematic process for destroying the remnants of U.S. democracy has been to give the very-wealthy literally unlimited powers to buy the government of their choice. The first “victory” in the absolute corruption of the U.S. political process was to allow corporations (the paper fronts for the very-wealthy) to donate unlimited quantities of their dirty money, in order to buy the politicians who would serve them loyally.

This also allowed the wealthiest Oligarchs to hide behind these corporate fronts, so we couldn’t see which particular individuals were primarily responsible for the latest crop of corrupt sycophants in the U.S. Congress. However, with the corruption (and now overt fascism) of the Fourth Reich becoming more extreme by the day; the Oligarchs no longer see any need to hide.

Thus we have the “next evolution” in U.S. corruption: simply allowing individuals to directly spend as much as they want in buying the government of their choice. Supposedly, there are still limitations. Wealthy Americans can only contribute so much directly to any one particular candidate or “PAC”.

For readers outside the U.S.; a PAC is basically a corporate front created solely for the purpose of broadcasting (at maximum decibels) a particular propaganda message during an election campaign. The joke in these supposed “limitations” is two-fold. While the very-wealthy are limited in their contributions to any particular entity, there are now no aggregate “caps” of any kind on such spending. They can now create an infinite number of “PAC’s” to brainwash the electorate with their message(s) in each-and-every (so-called) election.

The other, obvious joke is that with no aggregate spending caps on corporations, either, individuals can indirectly make unlimited donations to particular candidates through simply contributing via numerous corporate fronts. A billionaire with his/her own plethora of shell corporations can funnel vast (and essentially unlimited) quantities of wealth anywhere they desire in U.S. elections by simply – and legally -- utilizing all of these various, corporate tentacles.


The ‘Recovery’ of Greece: Fraud and Fiction

International Commentary

Roughly 2 ¼ centuries ago, a member of the French aristocracy (Marie Antoinette) was reputedly quoted as saying “let them eat cake”, as her naïve response to the plight of starving, French peasants (shortly before the French Revolution).

Historians now cast doubt as to whether this line was ever uttered by her, and it’s quite possible it was merely attributed to her as a means of attacking her reputation. However, the allegory itself has survived. Why? Because whether or not this anecdote is authentic; the symbol is an eternal one: elitist Oligarchs dwelling in their ivory towers, so totally out of touch with ordinary people (and reality) that their perspective on the real world is naïve and/or absurd.

In the 21st century, we see that this same Ivory Tower remains intact, and is currently situated at the headquarters of Bloomberg News. Do the drones who work for this den of elitism prescribe “eating cake” to feed the 100+ million unemployed across the Western world, or to mitigate the 50+% collapse in the standard of living of ordinary people in the West?

No. Bloomberg’s callous elitism is much more corporate in nature, and demonstrated in stark/absurd terms, in its piece of Marie Antoinette “journalism” from March 27th:

Greece Is Pulling Off an Amazing Recovery

Of what “recovery” does Bloomberg speak? Did Greece’s corrupt coalition government find any jobs for the 27% of the Greek population “officially” unemployed (real unemployment is closer to 50%)? Of course not. The Traitor Governments of the West don’t “create jobs” – they only destroy them.

So what is this “amazing recovery”? Bloomberg is so overjoyed it doesn’t keep readers in suspense for long. It reveals this “remarkable story” in its sub-title:

Greece Can Afford To Borrow Again

Anyone who hasn’t spent the past five years journeying on distant planets understands that Greece’s economy was just destroyed – utterly – as it went through a messy (and deliberately induced) debt-default. Now with Greece’s economy still in a state of utter ruin, the bankers want us to applaud the fact that they (and Greece’s Traitor Government) are about to start piling new debts on a population which cannot even currently feed itself.

This is not like Marie Antoinette saying to the people of France “let them eat cake.” Its bankers and politicians saying to the people of Greece “let them eat poison” (just as they are now doing with their new victims in Ukraine). But beyond the absurd/outrageous theme of this piece of elitist nonsense; in trying to create the myth of an “amazing recovery”, Bloomberg and the bankers have done nothing but inadvertently reveal their own culpability (and fraud) in the original destruction of Greece’s economy.

It’s all in the numbers:



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