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The Big Lies Regarding Precious Metals Miners

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The talking-heads in the mainstream media spend so much of their time talking out of both sides of their mouths that they have clearly become oblivious to the extent of that double-talk. This is the only rational explanation as to the insistence of the mainstream media in repeating the same self-contradictions.

In this case I’m referring to media double-talk regarding their reporting on the precious metals sector, and most particularly their totally perverse coverage of the precious metals miners. The contradictions should be obvious to any/all investors who watch this sector closely.

On the one hand we have the media endlessly bashing these miners as “under-performers”. Despite the (supposedly) “high” bullion prices we’ve seen in recent years just look at the charts, shriek these bashers. Yes, when we look at the results from our (totally manipulated) markets, it is clear that (mysteriously) these miners are in the midst of their second Depression in five years – in the middle of one of the longest, strongest bull markets in history. Of course the myopic media notices nothing unusual about that.

However, the propagandists couldn’t be content to leave their sabotage of the miners at that level. Out of the other side of their mouths we hear voices like Bloomberg. Inserting the stiletto, it proclaims in its headline:

Barrick Leads Miners Spending Faster Than Earnings Rising

Ouch! The message from that stab-in-the-back is clear: these miners are money-losers…but hold on a second. Weren’t these same propagandists telling us (again and again and again) that these miners should all be drowning in profits from the “high” bullion prices they crow about (as they warn us repeatedly about a “bubble”)?

Methinks I see a contradiction here. Either these miners are reaping “high” prices for their gold (and silver) and thus raking in windfall profits; or, they are struggling in just attempting to stay afloat – as low bullion prices mean they are unable to offset spending with revenues. Both of these things cannot be true at the same time.

The Depression being experienced by these miners is real. As a shareholder in these companies I can vouch for that personally. Thus if we accept the market evidence at face value (and ignore overwhelming evidence of rampant manipulation), the message the market is sending is unequivocal: bullion prices must rise substantially merely to make this sector sustainable over the long term (let alone ever reaching the lofty status of a bubble). This brings us back to the reporting of the media propaganda machine, and their incessant fear-mongering that the precious metals sector (gold and silver) represent asset bubbles which investors ignore at their peril.

How can the precious metals sector be in a “bubble” when prices aren’t high enough to even sustain the sector over the long-term? How can the precious metals sector be in a bubble when investors are holding (on average) only about 1% gold/silver in their portfolios, versus the historical average of 5% to 10%? How can the precious metals sector be in a bubble when gold stockpiles are declining and silver stockpiles are nearly exhausted? As a matter of arithmetic every commodities bubble must be characterized by an upward explosion in inventories.

In short, we have this market demonstrating all the surface indications of a sector in a Depression, yet we have the mainstream media incessantly referring to the depression-conditions in this sector as a “bubble”. It is one thing to be merely mistaken. That can be dismissed as incompetence.

The consistent, perverse manner in which the media reports on this sector in referring to a Depression as a “bubble” cannot possibly be explained as mere incompetence. Reporting the exact opposite of the truth on even a single occasion implies dishonesty rather than innocent mistake. Incessantly reporting the precise opposite of the truth can only be regarded as a campaign of lies.

 

Those of us who observe and report on these companies on a regular basis will insist that the “reason” for the Depression among these mining companies is simple. There has been an all-out assault by the banking cabal on these miners to sabotage their share prices. As with any companies and any sector, doing so destroys the ability of these companies to raise capital, as in our modern markets the primary means of raising capital is via leveraging equity.

Note, however, that this analysis still leads to the identical conclusion: the only thing which can shake these miners free of their current Depression would be much higher bullion prices. Thus there is no other “angle” by which the actions of the mainstream can be viewed, where their analysis could possibly be justified as legitimate or even honest.

How “high” is high? Obviously any sector market/where the prices are not sufficient to sustain operations over the long term is characterized by low prices not high prices, indeed prices which are too low to be sustained over the long term. This is a tautology of economics.

However, look through the Bloomberg hatchet-job and you will never see the words “low prices” and certainly no suggestion that prices are too low. Indeed we see nothing but the exact opposite – droning on and on about the rapid increases in price:

gold prices climbed 156%...

the gold and silver price has gone up quite dramatically…

the price has risen for 11 consecutive years and reached a record $1923.70…

Would anything in Bloomberg’s reporting lead investors to the inevitable conclusion from their own facts: that prices are too low to sustain the sector over the long term? Of course not.

Instead Bloomberg opted for a “blame the victims” strategy: these reckless miners were engaged in a “growth at any cost” strategy, it claimed. And once again we see the propagandists talking out of both sides of their mouths.

It is this same mainstream media which accuses these miners again and again and again of being under-achievers: “under-performing” the price of bullion despite recording record profits. When (for the first time in history) we have investors mysteriously shunning companies reporting record profits (at the urging of the mainstream media); what choice are these miners being given? Grow or perish.

Much like our lying central bankers rape savers with their near-zero interest rates and then lecture them for over-spending, we have the same blame-the-victim orgy taking place with media reporting on the precious metals miners. First you drive investors away from these companies with intentionally malicious lies that the sector is “in a bubble”, then you lecture the miners for “over-spending” in trying to woo those investors back. Clearly this rape template is being over-used by our Overlords.

Being in regular contact with investors in these miners, I am well aware of their sense of outrage and frustration as their own prudent, honest, investing is being sabotaged by the combination of media lies and bankster manipulation. “When will it end?” is the inevitable question.

Unfortunately I can’t answer that question. Manipulation is an arbitrary act, and thus can never be predicted – with the exception of the patterns which emerge in the manipulation itself. Lies remain effective until they are disbelieved. Again that is a development which no one can precisely predict.

Thus what is a more productive exercise is to look at how this current Depression with the gold and silver miners will end. While we could undoubtedly construct more complex and detailed permutations, there are only a few basic paths forward:

1) Western bond markets collapse and gold and silver prices explode higher. All major Western economies are currently on this path, only the timetable for implosion varies. Clearly once this Ponzi-scheme collapses and $10’s of trillions in banker paper goes to zero (like we already saw with Greece) there will be many paper-holders suddenly obsessed with climbing aboard the shiny gold and silver Lifeboats. There will only be “seats” for about 1% of that money.

2) Paper currencies are driven to zero via hyperinflation. This scenario is obviously much, much worse than (1), since all of the bankers’ paper instruments are denominated in these worthless currencies – and thus all banker paper becomes totally worthless. Even more people (many more) will want to climb aboard the gold and silver Lifeboats – and even fewer will find “seats”.

Unfortunately Scenario Two is not only worse than Scenario One it is also more probable. All the Western debt-sinners are now past the point of no return. It is impossible for any of them to ever balance their budgets. As we have seen now already for four years, this leaves the banksters with only one option: to attempt to continue to prop-up their fiat currency Ponzi-schemes by printing even more paper – much, much more than at any time in history.

We know this is true because we now have the empirical evidence to prove it. As we have seen first with Greece, then with the UK, and now with Spain; even attempting to balance the budget (via sadistic Friedman Austerity) only causes these economies to disintegrate even more rapidly. Thus our cowardly political leaders have the choice of succumbing to debt-default – and be visibly “holding the bag” when voters look for a culprit to blame – or they can let the bankers engage in even more reckless money-printing to (briefly) delay an even worse collapse.  When we watch U.S. politicians continuing to “party like it’s 1999”, we don’t have to speculate as to which choice has been selected.

However, for the sake of argument let’s put aside the fact that our lemming-economies are charging toward one of two cliffs. Let’s assume that the lemmings grow wings, or have parachutes strapped to their backs, and somehow after they stampede off the cliff ahead of them they do not end up going “splat”. This brings us to the third potential path forward, even if it is totally hypothetical.

3) The bankers and media are totally successful in their campaign against the miners and “win”. This Tag-Team of Deceit continues to hold down the price of gold and silver, while also continuing to successfully attack and depress the gold and silver miners.

What happens then? Actions carry consequences. This is the part that these “Wile E. Coyote” bankers simply cannot comprehend. Holding down the price of bullion will stimulate high levels of consumption by both investors and industrial users (eager to take advantage of “cheap” metal). We have seen this consistently now for more than 10 years (that’s called a “pattern”).

Similarly, depress the miners and you depress supply. Depress supply and it’s impossible to meet the (highly-stimulated) demand. Inventories must decline. When inventories decline prices must rise – at the very latest when inventories reach zero. Again, this is nothing more than a simple tautology of arithmetic and thus it must happen.

Newer investors to this sector need some historical context in order to properly understand the dynamics here. It was the successful suppression of the gold and silver markets during the 1980’s and 1990’s which created this 10+ year bull market of the New Millennium. Actions carry consequences.

The price of gold was pushed to a multi-decade low. The price of silver was pushed all the way down to a 600-year low. This created the voracious demand for these metals at once-in-a-lifetime prices.

Equally, pushing gold and silver prices to those extreme lows destroyed the supply chain at precisely the same time they were creating massive demand. Thus the fact that gold and silver have had the most-bullish supply/demand fundamentals for any class of commodities over the past decade was also the inevitable consequence of the machinations of the bankers.

Artificially create a bear market (for any commodity) and the inevitable consequence is a bull market.

What’s different now is that the bullion that the bankers dumped onto the market to stomp on prices during the 1980’s and 1990’s is gone. Meanwhile their paper Ponzi-schemes teeter much more precariously than during the 80’s and 90’s. The reasons to flee to the 5,000 year security of gold and silver grow by the day, while the capacity of the bankers to impede their advance continues to dwindle.

All roads lead to higher gold and silver prices. When it comes to the manipulation of these markets, “success” for the bankers leads to their inevitable defeat. Wile E. Coyote could never catch the Roadrunner. And the schemes of the bankers cannot trump the Laws of Arithmetic.

[Disclosure: I hold no position in Barrick Gold, nor any of the gold miners discussed in Bloomberg's article]

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Comments (9)Add Comment
bobbbny
...
written by bobbbny, May 07, 2012
Jeff, you say:

Thus what is a more productive exercise is to look at how this current Depression with the gold and silver miners will end. While we could undoubtedly construct more complex and detailed permutations, there are only a few basic paths forward:

1) Western bond markets collapse and gold and silver prices explode higher. All major Western economies are currently on this path, only the timetable for implosion varies. Clearly once this Ponzi-scheme collapses and $10’s of trillions in banker paper goes to zero (like we already saw with Greece) there will be many paper-holders suddenly obsessed with climbing aboard the shiny gold and silver Lifeboats. There will only be “seats” for about 1% of that money.

2) Paper currencies are driven to zero via hyperinflation. This scenario is obviously much, much worse than (1), since all of the bankers’ paper instruments are denominated in these worthless currencies – and thus all banker paper becomes totally worthless. Even more people (many more) will want to climb aboard the gold and silver Lifeboats – and even fewer will find “seats”.

Unfortunately Scenario Two is not only worse than Scenario One it is also more probable. All the Western debt-sinners are now past the point of no return. It is impossible for any of them to ever balance their budgets. As we have seen now already for four years, this leaves the banksters with only one option: to attempt to continue to prop-up their fiat currency Ponzi-schemes by printing even more paper – much, much more than at any time in hi

This is an obvious truth.
The banksters can't allow the bond markets to collapse, so they absolutely MUST follow scenario #2, and of course, they have been for quite some time.
The Fed, World Bank, IMF, EMU; they've all been printing fiat & pulling loans out of their asses for the past five years.
Where do these WB, IMF, UMA sovereign deadbeat bailouts come from?
Throw another digital asset on the balance sheet, boys!
Lend it to EU banks so they can buy the bonds we print with the digital money we create.
All accounts in full balance!
WTF are you worried about?

You can only compress a spring so far until it snaps back.
The more you suppress it, the more it rebounds.

So it is in Egypt, Greece, France, etc.

When it happens in the precious metals, you better be in & you better be physical.
You also better have food, water, and protection.
Jeff Nielson
...
written by Jeff Nielson, May 07, 2012
Interesting dilemma in the UK. You can hold gold Sovereigns (or Britannias) free of capital gains or inheritance taxes because they are still legal tender (Sovereign nominal £1). But if you were to give a Sovereign away to a relative, would the tax man consider it at £1 value? I think not!
I have to laugh at the number of comments on Zerohedge.com where people have taken their gold bullion on a canoeing expedition and want to record the fact that they capsized losing everything!
The bullion dealers in the UK are obliged to take passport etc details from anyone purchasing coins/bullion. Supposedly it's about anti laundering, but I guess it has other possible uses. Exactly the same applies if you try to open an account with the likes of goldmoney.com.
In the UK you can hold mining equities tax free in an ISA. Most of the organisations running equity ISAs, however, insist that you do not hold share certificates but that they hold your shareholding in a pooled account. That's another risk.
I honestly think that we could easily have a Weimar Republic type situation with money printing to infinity. Most money is now electronic, so we wouldn't ever get to the wheelbarrows of money position, just a regular revaluation of the $ or £ or € (if the latter survives) until, effectively all current saving and pension obligations are reduced to practically zero. In the UK, for example, most surviving Final Salary pension schemes have gradually dropped full index linking. The government obliged scheme providers to link up to 5% inflation, but since 2006 the legal obligation has been 2.5%. It's as if the government is actually paving the way for inflation to take-off and leave pensioners without adequate provision. But what am I saying.... that suggests that the government knows what it is doing! The more I think about it the more I think printing to infinity is likely the way every country is going to go.


Many interesting points to address in that remark Norbull:

1) The ABSURD hypocrisy and double-standards regarding TAXATION of bullion (versus taxation of paper).

2) The economic liberty/privacy associated with PERSONALLY holding bullion, where our goverments have no means of PROVING ownership/possession - unlike almost any other asset class.

3) Conversely we have the economic RAPE which is guaranteed to anyone duped into contuing to hold Western paper currencies - and their equally worthless bonds.

Sadly there's no space to really ADDRESS those issues here (lol), but I certainly do so in my archives of gold and silver commentaries:

http://www.bullionbullscanada.com/gold-commentary

http://www.bullionbullscanada.com/silver-commentary
Norbull
...
written by Norbull, May 07, 2012
Interesting dilemma in the UK. You can hold gold Sovereigns (or Britannias) free of capital gains or inheritance taxes because they are still legal tender (Sovereign nominal £1). But if you were to give a Sovereign away to a relative, would the tax man consider it at £1 value? I think not!
I have to laugh at the number of comments on Zerohedge.com where people have taken their gold bullion on a canoeing expedition and want to record the fact that they capsized losing everything!
The bullion dealers in the UK are obliged to take passport etc details from anyone purchasing coins/bullion. Supposedly it's about anti laundering, but I guess it has other possible uses. Exactly the same applies if you try to open an account with the likes of goldmoney.com.
In the UK you can hold mining equities tax free in an ISA. Most of the organisations running equity ISAs, however, insist that you do not hold share certificates but that they hold your shareholding in a pooled account. That's another risk.
I honestly think that we could easily have a Weimar Republic type situation with money printing to infinity. Most money is now electronic, so we wouldn't ever get to the wheelbarrows of money position, just a regular revaluation of the $ or £ or € (if the latter survives) until, effectively all current saving and pension obligations are reduced to practically zero. In the UK, for example, most surviving Final Salary pension schemes have gradually dropped full index linking. The government obliged scheme providers to link up to 5% inflation, but since 2006 the legal obligation has been 2.5%. It's as if the government is actually paving the way for inflation to take-off and leave pensioners without adequate provision. But what am I saying.... that suggests that the government knows what it is doing! The more I think about it the more I think printing to infinity is likely the way every country is going to go.
Jeff Nielson
...
written by Jeff Nielson, May 06, 2012
Paxjds, with our own governments now stealing (or simply ALLOWING the Oligarchs to steal) anything/everything not "nailed down" there are only TWO possible ways for ordinary people to protect themselves.

1) Obtain your own crystal-ball so that you will KNOW what will be safe to hold in the future.

2) DIVERSIFY to the greatest degree as is safely possible.

Not having been able to locate my OWN crystal-ball, my strategy is to focus on diversification. But here AGAIN we are severely limited. With ALL our markets so thoroughly rigged/gamed, the "safe" options for diversity are limited.

1) Gold
2) Silver
3) gold/silver mining equities

I would LIKE to be able to urge people to branch-out into other commodities/sectors since EVENTUALLY they will represent fabulous investment opportunities.

The big problem with commodities other than gold or silver is that "eventually" might not come around until AFTER a totally devastating crash/default event - which will NOT be "friendly" to ANY commodities.

Only gold and silver STILL represent security in that scenario, since gold and silver are our ONLY forms of "good money" - and thus they also function as "monetary insurance" in times of crisis (i.e. whenever the bankers are allowed to run their printing presses without any controls).

AFTER all these Deadbeat Debtors have had their own individual "default" events, THEN it will be safe to venture back into the realm of broader commodities...
paxjds
...
written by paxjds, May 05, 2012
Thanks Jeff for the reply. I have both gold stock and CEF precious metals funds in both my Roth and Traditional IRA's. If goverment confiscation is a potential problem, how would you suggest solving this delemia?
Jeff Nielson
...
written by Jeff Nielson, May 04, 2012
Jeff: all that you post is quite true, but an additional headwind to the miners has arisen recently. As desperate sovereign politicos seek to keep their power even as their economies implode, we will be seeing more de facto nationalization in the PM sector. Argentina's recent moves in nationalizing/expropriating a Spanish energy conglomerate had an immediate effect on junior PM miners located in Argentina; their share prices almost immediately dropped 40%. Other SA countries with Marxist regimes may follow suit. Further, Obama's recent Executive Order granting him power over all US resources (including human labor, WTF!!!!), is ominous. Methinks that if physical gold ever hits $3000, many (if not most) private mining companies worldwide will be taken over with sovereign troops guarding them, even those in North America.


Apberusdisvet, your point is certainly valid. BUT realistically it only applies to (at the most) about 10% of these companies - in the VERY riskiest of jurisdictions.

Yes, even supposedly "safe" jurisdictions also carry some risk, but this comes AFTER these same governments have ALREADY started stealing all sorts of assets - including simply confiscating pension funds.

When you ADD the fact that most of the world's bond markets are just insolvent Ponzi-schemes and these miners STILL represent high-safety assets compared to 90% of other investment options...provided that investors hold them as part of a BASKET of these companies.

There are no "guarantees" in an era of Criminal Governments. Precious metals miners represent a LESSER of evils in this regard - not a greater risk.
apberusdisvet
...
written by apberusdisvet, May 04, 2012
Jeff: all that you post is quite true, but an additional headwind to the miners has arisen recently. As desperate sovereign politicos seek to keep their power even as their economies implode, we will be seeing more de facto nationalization in the PM sector. Argentina's recent moves in nationalizing/expropriating a Spanish energy conglomerate had an immediate effect on junior PM miners located in Argentina; their share prices almost immediately dropped 40%. Other SA countries with Marxist regimes may follow suit. Further, Obama's recent Executive Order granting him power over all US resources (including human labor, WTF!!!!), is ominous. Methinks that if physical gold ever hits $3000, many (if not most) private mining companies worldwide will be taken over with sovereign troops guarding them, even those in North America.
Jeff Nielson
...
written by Jeff Nielson, May 04, 2012
Yes Paxjds, the "decoupling" scenario is another one of the paths toward the end of the bullion manipulation game.

My only worry remains that once the banksters' paper-fraud in the gold market is unmasked (and thus they become impotent) that the IMMEDIATE response will be gold and/or silver confiscation.

For this reason I continue to strongly suggest to people that they hold their bullion PERSONALLY - and not in any fund or account where that bullion can be SEIZED by our government(s) with nothing more than a point-and-click.
paxjds
...
written by paxjds, May 03, 2012
World market forces of supply and demand are begging to show a seperation in paper prices versus physical prices in precious metals. Wether the Fed announces QE3 or not, they are printing money and buying Treasuries every month to keep intrest rates extremely low. What foreign governments or banks will buy Tresuries below 2% when 6-8% is the going rate? What other governments and Central banks are doing is buying Physical Gold for their reserves! At some point in the near future, citizens of the world will do the same and buy precious metals. At this point the long term Gold trend line will curve up and go parabolic. It will be damned near impossible to protect your Fiat Currencies at this point. Who is going to sell you Tsunami insurance when the 100 feet Tsunami is 500 feet off shore?

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