Silver Manipulation the “worst in history” - Ted Butler
Silver production is falling globally. While I don't have the numbers to immediately back that up, this is a simple and obvious deduction. In 2007, the last year where FULL production information is available (and the last year before the current economic crisis started hammering silver production), silver output was up a paltry 4%.
Since then, base metals production has plummeted. With well over 2/3 of the silver produced in the world being a byproduct of other metals production, the combination of delayed or canceled projects, along with a HUGE drop in byproduct production guarantees that current silver production is falling.
For a commodity with numerous and ever-increasing industrial uses, with ever-increasing investment demand, and with global stockpiles having been almost completely depleted, this should be a silver-bull's fantasy. So why are prices not reflecting this extremely bullish supply/demand profile? In one word: manipulation.
While most sheep simply roll their eyes when they hear an accusation of “market manipulation”, the facts are 100% unequivocal. All we need do is turn to noted silver authority, and tireless researcher: Ted Butler.
In his most recent commentary, “The Smoking Gun, Part II”, Butler lays out the obvious (and heinous) facts. The Comex criminals (composed of a gang of four banks), now control at least 72.5% of the Comex “short” position. To provide some context, this is more than five times as large a concentration, as when the Hunt Brothers were accused of “cornering the market” in silver – on the long side.
The Hunt Brothers' main problem (a generation earlier) when they “cornered the market” was that they held too large a position to ever exit without causing a massive plunge in the silver price. If the Hunt Brothers were too big to exit, with a position less than 1/5th the size of today's Comex criminals, then obviously there is no way for these Manipulators to EVER exit their positions without ensuring their own annihilation.
And yet the “vigilant” U.S. regulators have (up until now) been unable to see “any sign of manipulation”. Once again, this goes beyond any minimal level of plausibility, and constitutes nothing more than the refusal of corrupt, U.S. regulators to do their job – as they have obviously been bought off many years before this by the same Comex criminals.
What does this mean for silver investors? Should you “throw in the towel”, close your positions, and concede defeat? Certainly not.
Even with ever more obvious criminal conduct to suppress the price of silver (along with the price of gold), this is a war that cannot possibly be won by the Manipulators.
As I've stated in a previous commentary, the under-pricing of anything leads to over-consumption. So, ask yourself this: what is the inevitable future for a commodity with falling production, depleted stockpiles, and ever-increasing demand?
The answer is obvious: the greatest “short-squeeze” in the history of markets (at least on a percentage basis).
At the recent PDAC conference in Toronto, a feature-speaker from Germany could not say enough about his enthusiasm for silver. German investors, in particular have a love of physical silver – as their own cultural form of economic protection from the current crises.
His only lament about silver was the global disappearance of silver coins and bars from retailers' inventories – as smart investors scoop up insanely cheap silver as fast as dealers can lay their hands on dwindling supplies.
The severe shortage of silver which is now a global phenomenon can ONLY lead to a spike in prices high enough to restore equilibrium. Every day that this manipulation continues, the ultimate “spike” to restore balance must be larger and more extreme.
Analysts today generally talk about a current equilibrium price of silver between $25 and $50/oz. Personally, I consider those numbers conservative, and fully expect to see silver prices reach three digits – at least on a temporary spike.
As cheap as silver is today, the silver miners, and especially the junior producers are cheaper still. My own portfolio holds several of these companies, and I haven't even toyed with the idea of dumping any of those shares – even during the worst of the crash last fall.
Do not miss out on the commodity-play of a lifetime. I'm definitely a “gold bug”, but whatever returns I can make in the gold sector, I'm certain there are even bigger gains awaiting in silver. Do not get frightened. Do not lose patience. Your “pot of silver” awaits at the end of this “rainbow”.